Last week, we held our June Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
Last week, we held our April Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
As equity markets continue to repair the damage from April’s correction, we continue to find more and more stocks -- and groups of stocks -- that we want to be buying.
A growing number of those groups are coming from the financial sector.
Financials have made a comeback in the last week as a handful of financial indexes and individual issues are reclaiming their prior-cycle highs.
The relative trends are improving as well, with the large cap sector SPDR $XLF hitting new 52-week highs versus the S&P 500 recently.
When we think about the strongest stocks within financials, asset management and capital market stocks are top of mind.
In today’s post, we will dive in and outline some of our favorite charts in the space.
Before we do that, here’s the SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF $KCE pressing against its former highs from 2021:
We held our April Monthly Strategy Session earlier this week. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
We held our March Monthly Strategy Session Monday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
In today's post, we're talking about a group of stocks that have emerged as the 'Generals' of the current bull market.
You are thinking, “it must be tech.”
It’s not.
Industrials have been just as strong as tech stocks but with far better internals. No other sector has experienced the kind of broad participation we’re seeing from industrials. These are the real market leaders.
Historically, the Industrial sector is the one with the highest correlation to the overall market. So, the strength of these stocks is also sending us very bullish information about the health of this bull market.
This is great news, but today’s note is about looking under the hood and finding the best opportunities in the various industrial subgroups.
As one of the most diverse sectors, investors have plenty of options in the world of industrials. We did the work and dug into this space to find out what the strongest areas are and where we want to put our money.
Let’s get into it.
Here’s the Large-Cap Industrial Sector $XLI breaking out of a multi-year base:
For a healthy and sustainable bull cycle to take place, we eventually need these laggards to participate.
For the 2021 and 2022 bear, speculative growth was the poster child.
We’re talking about biotech, the ARK funds, the IPO index, online retailers, etc. These groups were absolutely decimated.
Not only did they experience some of the worst bear market drawdowns, but in 2023, when new leaders emerged, and many areas of the market began to move higher, these laggards continued to struggle.
Fast forward to today, and these groups are still repairing the technical damage from the prior cycle. With that said, the seeds have been planted for some epic bearish-to-bullish trend reversals.
We held our February Monthly Strategy Session last week. ASC Premium Members can click here to watch the replay and download the chartbook.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends.
This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
As we exit the best three-month period for the stock market, we're looking to our risk appetite indicators to help us determine the next directional move.
The charts below are all excellent tools for helping identify what kind of environment we are in.
During bull markets, investors embrace risk. In bear markets, they reduce their risk.
Understanding and analyzing the balance between defensive and offensive assets helps keep us on the right side of the trend.