This is the video recording of our February 3, 2023, All Star Charts Crypto Weekly Strategy Session.

I'm an amateur chartist, at best. If you want charting experts, I'll refer you to my team here at All Star Charts.

That said, I've got my eye on what appears to be a bullish flag forming in a hot Chinese stock and it looks ready for liftoff. Coupled with cheap options pricing, we can neatly define our risks and position ourselves for a big win.

From the Desk of Willie Delwiche.

After Tuesday’s 9-to-1 upside volume day, our Bull Market Re-Birth Checklist is now five out of five.

Why It Matters: The conditions for a new bull market have been met. It’s hard to argue otherwise from a market perspective. Large-cap and mid-cap value indexes reached new all-time highs this week, and small-cap value is not too far behind. The trend for the market for the market is higher, even if not all the indexes (including the popular benchmarks) are trending higher. But when the trend is higher, leadership is evidence of opportunity.

Our Bull Market Re-Birth Checklist has served its purpose well. But it is now time to put it aside and now turn our attention to questions of sustainability and leadership. These will be best answered by price and breadth trends and not one-off surges and thrusts. We will be aggregating some of the key indicators in this regard and introducing a new bull market sustainability checklist next week. Stay tuned.       

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The Natural Gas ETF saw its highest volume of all time on Wednesday - by a long shot.

I mean, it wasn't even close.

When I see something like that, I think "Capitulation".

There's something going on here and I want to take a closer look.

So here's that look.

You can see the $UNG Natural Gas ETF back down to those 2020 levels.

This ETF rallied over 300% last time it was down here:

The most significant insider buy on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Greg Hayes, the CEO of Raytheon Technologies $RTX.

Hayes reported a purchase of roughly $1 million in Phillips 66 $PSX, where he serves as a director.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Happy Friday!

Well, the tech heavyweights that reported last night had a bumpy evening.

Question is, will $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $AAPL gap and go lower or reverse and bounce?

From the Desk of Ian Culley

The FOMC handed down the expected 25 basis point rate hike yesterday. Yet markets didn’t react until Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke 30 minutes later.

That's right, he dropped the D-word – “disinflation.”

To be clear, I don’t care what he said. Instead of hanging on the Fed Chair's words, I prefer to focus on the markets. I find it more enjoyable.

But, boy, did markets respond!

The most striking aspect of yesterday’s reaction was highlighted by the relative strength of growth stocks.

Check out the overlay chart of the US T-Bond ETF $TLT and the ARK Innovation ETF $ARKK:  These charts tend to move tick-for-tick, as long-duration assets benefit from the same market environment.

It doesn’t matter that one ETF holds the largest tech names across the market while the other a basket of long-term US Treasury bonds. 

Whatever Powell said in addition to “disinflationary,” investors heard...

If you're short Peloton with the price above those former highs from the back half of last year, I think you're insane.

The squeeze is on here folks.

At last glance we saw 15% of the float was still short.

Look at this beautiful bottom and breakout:

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Markets continued higher today...

And then, around 2:00 p.m. ET, the indices took a much-needed breather.

This is the video recording of the February 2nd, 2023, Weekly Town Hall w/ Willie Delwiche.

2/2/23 2:00 PM ET

Excluding price action itself, relative strength has to be the most underappreciated indicator.

It's impossible to outperform if you own assets exhibiting relative weakness.

If a stock is underperforming, there's a reason why. It's not until months after the fact do investors discover the "fundamental" drivers anchoring that stock.

The same can be said for when a stock is outperforming.

Look at it like holding a beach ball underwater. You can feel the pressure on your arms, and when that pressure is released, the ball explodes into the air.

Think about the selling pressure in the market: When the selling pressure alleviates, the stocks showing relative strength tend to be the first ones that shoot higher.

These principles are universal across every market.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The largest insider buy on today's list is a Form 4 filing by Steve Miron,  director at Charter Communications $CHTR.

Miron revealed the purchase of $960,875 worth of CHTR shares.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

For some time now, I've said $SPY can touch 410. We're here now.

If we continue to hold on and slightly contract, then SPY can see 421.

We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.

This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.

This week we're looking into Capital Goods sector stocks.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza 

In case I haven't been obnoxious enough, we are in the early stages of a new bull market.

I cannot be more clear about this. I feel it in my bones.

Today, the Fed had their first meeting of the year, and did exactly what everyone thought they would do. The market flew straight into rally mode as soon as the press conference began. There were no surprises.

This is because, very much unlike 2022, the path of least resistance for risk assets is now higher.

We're seeing risk-on action characterize the tape on a regular basis.

Breakouts are sticking. The list of new highs is growing longer and longer. Meanwhile, new lows are almost non-existent, and the breakdowns from December have failed and followed through higher.

It's all bull market stuff.

Along the same lines, we're seeing more and more stocks offer bullish chart setups that we want to be buying. And we're entertaining all of them.

It's time to be aggressive on the long side.

Be sure to check out...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Everyone wants to know where the dollar is headed next.

It’s great investors are showing interest in the dollar, while understanding the impact it has on risk assets at the moment. 

But I have no idea where the dollar is headed. No one does.

Regardless, I can still form a framework to help make the best logical guess despite an incomplete data set. That’s what we do at All Star Charts!

So let’s recap three points I’ve made regarding the dollar in recent months that I believe hold the greatest weight…

The Time and Place for a Bounce

Given strong seasonal tailwinds and a critical shelf of former highs acting as potential support, the likelihood of a dollar bounce last month seemed probable…

The US Dollar Index $DXY has enjoyed the best returns...