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Top/Down Take: Mindtree (MINDTREE)

July 30, 2022

One of the processes we absolutely love to follow is the Top/Down Analysis approach. In this process, we identify the larger trend, zoom in, and analyze the characteristics that stand out. We look at the asset classes, identify the strongest one, and then deep dive. Next, we look at sectors and identify the pockets of outperformance. Finally, we look at an actionable trade that suits our risk and reward parameters.

So let's see what we have this time around!

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The Hall of Famers (07-29-2022)

July 29, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down 5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month. 

Then, we sort the remaining names by...

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Gold Doesn’t Care

July 29, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The past two years of sideways chop on the gold chart has been a game of perseverance and pain. 

Gold is a honey badger, attacking a beehive face-first, digging for larvae, and somehow persevering through a thousand bee stings.

That can’t be fun, especially as other areas of the market have experienced explosive trends. But it works for the honey badger.

And it's worked for gold.

Now that commodities and stocks have come under increased selling pressure, the data continues to mount in favor of declining gold prices. 

Precious metals are looking weak. Gold stocks are breaking down on absolute and relative bases. And signs of risk appetite are nowhere to be seen.

But gold doesn’t care.

Before we get into the absolute weakness in gold and other precious metals, let’s review the relative weakness in the mining space.

Here’s a dual-pane chart of the Gold Miners ETF $GDX versus the Gold ETF $GLD and...

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[Premium] Details For August 2022 Monthly Strategy Session

July 29, 2022

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday August 1st @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

Hot Corner Insider

The Inside Scoop (07-29-2022)

July 29, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

As this summer’s relief rally gains momentum, the new highs list is gaining and growing along with it.

For long-only universes like The Hot List, this is great news.

Why?

Because we finally have a good amount of bullish chart setups to choose from again. For a few months there, we were struggling to find solid opportunities for putting on long exposure.

We’ve been patiently waiting for evidence that the market is turning. And while we’re not out of the woods yet, conditions have improved significantly since June.

Let’s dive in and talk about some health care stocks that have our attention right now. 

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

July 29, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We got a breadth thrust this week as the percentage of S&P 500 stocks making new 20-day highs edged above 55% on Thursday. This might not be the most well-known of the various breadth thrusts, but it’s the one I lean on most heavily. It’s part of our bull market re-birth checklist and watched by market pros. It’s not an all clear signal or a guarantee that the market will not go down. The market stumbled after the July 2011 signal and the performance in the wake of the March 2002 signal was ugly. But overall, this tended to point to improving conditions and indicate that the market may more easily move up and to the right. I have reservations right now (we continue to see more new lows than new highs) and I believe much of the rally off the June lows has been built on a premise that will prove false. But the data are what they are. To quote Walter Deemer, “Ours is not to reason why, ours is just to sell and buy.” Breadth thrusts signal...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Couldn't Rally, Lower is Likely.

July 29, 2022

We've experienced a pretty powerful bear market rally on the heels of yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rates announcement. Whether or not it sticks is anybody's guess. But one name in the financials space has stood out for its relative lack of participation in the recent rally off the bear market lows.

Stocks like these are the ones we want to leverage into bearish portfolio hedges. So let's get right to it.

Insiders Are Buying Regional Banks

July 29, 2022

Insiders are buying up regional banks this week.

Independent Director Robert Stallings reported an additional  purchase of $1.2 million in Texas Capital Bancshares $TCB, as he continues to build his position.

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A Classic Intermarket Relationship

July 28, 2022

From the desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

It’s the day after the FOMC announcement, and markets are mixed. They’ve already moved past yesterday’s 75-basis-point hike and are now in the process of pricing in all available data, including the prospects of future Fed policy.    

Instead of getting caught up in the recession chatter and what the Fed might do next, let’s focus on one undeniable fact: The 10-year US Treasury yield $TNX is still at a key inflection point.

I know we’ve been obnoxious about the US dollar and rates. They continue to be two of the most important charts out there. That’s the environment we’re in – plain and simple.

And with the 10-year yield stuck just below a critical shelf of former highs, there’s no better time to remind ourselves of some classic intermarket relationships.

Here’s a chart of the US 10-year yield overlaid with the Metals and Mining ETF $XME with the ARK Innovation ETF $ARKK in the lower pane:

...

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: Overlooked Cucumbers & Missed Opportunities

July 28, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

It's not the first thing I do in the morning (a cup of coffee and some devotional time take precedence) but early each day, I am out in the garden. Hose in hand, I water what needs to be watered. I'm also observing – noticing weeds, identifying what needs to be propped up or redirected, and making a mental note of what is ripe and ready to be picked.

Right now, it's cucumbers – a lot of them. I'm giving them away as fast as I can. But I still had to pickle a bunch this past weekend (Capital Preservation in investing parlance). They are almost hydra-like this time of year. Eat one and there are three more ready to be picked.

What Bitcoin Needs To Thrive

July 28, 2022

Here's your chart of the day.

How can it not be?

It's the answer to the question: "What's it going to take for Bitcoin and Crypto to start doing well again?"

You see this inverse correlation?

Are We Entering Accumulation?

July 28, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

It's fair to say I used to be a huge nerd.

In high school, I wasn't into sports, drinking, or other normal teenage shenanigans.

As strange as it may seem, I was super passionate about technical analysis. I would use my English periods and lunch times learning fixated on what these charts meant, reading countless blogs, and spending hours learning what technical analysis was on Investopedia.

It's hilarious looking back on it now, but I vividly remember my 16th birthday. I convinced my Dad to buy me a flight to Auckland, so I could go to an investing seminar held by a well-known Kiwi entrepreneur, Jamie Beaton.

What teenager wants tickets for an investing seminar for their 16th birthday?

One story you'll hear often from technicians is that technical analysis opened up finance to them in an intuitive way. No longer were they basing their decisions on arbitrary discounted cash flow models or unreliable accounting figures.

Instead, they were following the only driver that moves markets -- money flow.

As I've grown over the years, I've come to a similar conclusion.

The All Star Momentum Scan

July 28, 2022

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us towards the very best stocks in the market. We have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base this time around. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.