Growth stocks seem concerned with only one thing – printing fresh highs.
The Tech sector ETF $XLK posted new 52-week highs yesterday. And the Communications ETF $XLC rallied within reach after taking out its Aug. ‘22 pivot highs.
So where does that leave bonds and other long-duration assets?
If these base breakouts across growth sectors hold, I imagine bonds have some serious catching up to do…
Why?
Growth stocks tend to trend with bonds since they’re both long-duration assets. Changes in interest rates directly impact US Treasuries and affect tech stocks more than other equities.
Check out the tight relationship between the Long-Term Treasury ETF $TLT and the Technology sector $XLK:
[9/7: stop moved to 260. We're already #FreeRiding on this one. So whatever we sell the remaining position for is pure profit!]
Today's trade leans against a significant support level that we believe will hold. But because the stock is at such a delicate level where it could quickly collapse on us if the level doesn't hold, we're going to keep the play simple and cleanly define our risks.
A picture is worth a thousand words, so here's the chart of Caterpillar $CAT that's got our attention:
Fresh off their annual meeting, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway takes the spotlight on today’s hot list.
Buffett and Berkshire continue to accumulate shares of Occidental Petroleum $OXY, disclosing yet another purchase, this one worth roughly $125 million.
Last Friday’s action sent flashbacks of 2022 across my screen.
It was all King Dollar last week as risk assets and bonds sold off in tandem.
But before we all get carried away talking about the next leg higher for the dollar, let’s zoom out to get a read on where the DXY truly stands…
In the middle of a short-term range.
The US Dollar Index $DXY finished last Friday, posting its best week since peaking in late September 2022.
But it’s been stuck between 105 and 101 since December:
The DXY might have gained 1.5% last week, but it’s stuck below a key retracement level. It’s a range-bound mess like much of the market despite the recent bout of strength.
Sideways is the trend.
But what is the likelihood the trend will change in the coming weeks?
Monitor the EUR/USD if you want to know if we have a potential dollar rally on our hands. I believe the euro holds the...