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[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

April 20, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: The heat has been turned up on our sentiment indicators, and optimism is back to a full boil as we see indexes in the US and around the world move to new highs. While it takes bulls to have a bull market, sentiment running too far ahead of reality can be a recipe for some churn. While breadth remains strong and economic & earnings data comes in ahead of expectations, investor optimism may well be rewarded. If breadth falters in a meaningful way and/or incoming data starts to fall short of expectations, the overheated sentiment backdrop would pose an increased burn risk. Investors who can’t tolerate the heat might want to step out of the kitchen for a breath of fresh air. 

Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: New Highs Across the Board 

Large-cap US Indexes registered new, all-time highs last week as breadth slowly rebounds after a period of digestion. Optimism may be running hot, but at least it’s producing bull markets....

Mystery Chart (04-20-2021)

April 20, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Check out our latest Mystery Chart!

What we do here is take a chart that’s captured our attention, and remove the x and y-axes as well as any other labels that could help identify it.

This chart can be of any security, in any asset class, on any timeframe. Sometimes it’s an absolute price chart, other times it’s on a relative basis.

It might be a ratio, a custom index, or maybe the price is inverted. It could be all three!

The point is, when we aren’t able to recognize what’s in front of us, we put aside any biases we may have and scrutinize it objectively.

While you can try to guess the chart, the point is to make a decision…

So let us know what it is… Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

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Under The Hood (Chart Summit 2021 Edition)

April 20, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

This weekend was the 5th Annual Chart Summit. It was a blast (as always) and all the footage will be archived and available for anyone to rewatch soon!

My presentation this weekend was about all the various "bottoms-up" scans we run here at All Star Charts... including Under The Hood, of course.

Therefore, I wanted to spice things up for viewers and share some additional names outside of the usual bi-weekly report.

So I summarized two bonus setups during the conference (which you can watch in the videos, available soon) and I'll outline them again below.

Let's dive right in.

* Bonus Long Setups From Chart Summit Presentation *

Chop Chop Chop....

April 19, 2021

The messy market environment continues.

It's been happening for months.

Underneath the surface, we're seeing rotation among sectors and the overwhelming theme, when you look through as many charts as we do, continues to be: MESSY.

There's little or no evidence yet that this is the beginning of a larger more substantial sell-off. In fact, the data coming in continues to support that these rangebound markets are coming within the context of a longer-term bull market for stocks.

The, "This is Year 2 of a Bull Market" theme appears to still be playing out.

The world of stocks is not the S&P500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average. Look beyond that and what will you find?

...
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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (04-19-2021)

April 19, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

The same themes that we've been pounding the table on more or less continue to drive primary trends.

In recent weeks, we've seen some rotation back into Large and Mega-Caps, which has propelled the major indices to new highs, while SMIDs are still resiliently consolidating. While the list of negative data points has grown, it's still not close to anything that warrants concern.

Developed Markets, particularly European equities, are resolving higher across the board -- a move confirmed by strong breadth and bullish internals. In short, we continue to see strong equity market...

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Under The Hood (04-19-2021)

April 19, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our “latest Under The Hood” column for the week ended April 16, 2021. As a reminder, this column will be published bi-weekly moving forward, and rotated on-and-off with our new Minor Leaguers column.

In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers… there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire...

Chart Summit 2021 That's A Wrap!

April 18, 2021

It was a 10 hour chart marathon of 24 presentations being live streamed to thousands of people all over the globe.

And it actually worked!

To be clear, I had nothing to do with the Technology behind all that. This was all our incredible team along with the partnership with Stocktwits.

So hats off to everyone who helped get this done!

My job was easy. All I had to do was talk about charts with a bunch of old buddies. I can do that!. It was everything else involved that makes it more complicated. But they got it done.

So awesome.

Global Breadth Is Bullish... But Bifurcated

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @GrantHawkridge

Following an onslaught of bullish initiation readings for US stocks last year, global equity markets began to register similar breadth thrusts earlier this year.

In this post, we'll take a look at those thrusts in addition to the current state of international stock market internals.

We'll even take a quick look at some of the differences we're seeing take place beneath the surface in various global markets.

Let's dive into it.

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Commodities Weekly (04-16-2021)

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Are Commodities poised for their next leg higher?

After weeks of sideways chop, we're beginning to see signs of strength that suggest an upside move is brewing.

Here’s some notable action: 

  • Copper is resolving higher from a tight continuation pattern within the context of a primary uptrend
  • Steel is again breaking higher from a quick coil pattern after making a parabolic move to record highs off last year’s lows
  • Aluminum is next in line as it works its way higher within a massive consolidation
  • Lumber continues to post new all-time highs day in and day out
  • Other markets like Sugar and Wheat have found support at logical levels and look ready to resume higher

I think you get the idea...

In...

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[Premium] Taking Portfolios To The Next Frontier

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

It's been a long time coming...

Public investors finally have opportunities to gain exposure to the exciting new Space Exploration industry.

We've seen a handful of new pure-play Space IPOs and SPACs hit the market this year. Most recently one of our favorite fund managers, ARK Invest joined the party and launched their own thematic Space ETF, $ARKX.

There's obviously a ton of hype surrounding this emerging theme right now. But is this industry, in its current form, worth investors' time?

All Star Charts Premium,
2 to 100 Club

2 To 100 Club (04-15-2021)

April 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, and Salesforce, to a myriad of others… all would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table you will notice...

[Video] BNN Bloomberg: Stocks, Ethereum and Lumber

April 15, 2021

Last night I popped into BNN Bloomberg to talk about what's going on in the market.

We're seeing new highs across a lot of major indexes, but what's happening underneath the surface?

We've been seeing the price of lumber soaring along with things like Steel and Rebar futures. It's the whole demand/building/growth theme that continues to stand out.

One thing that's definitely worth watching is the All Country World Index Ex-U.S., which is basically a snapshot of what the rest of the world looks like. And you'll notice that the index ETF $ACWX is stuck right between its 2008 highs and 2018 highs.

This puts the global stock market in quite a predicament. If you're bullish equities, you're going to want to see a breakout through those historic 2008 highs. If you're bearish equities, this is one you want to see break back below those 2018 highs.

Check out the video in full. This was fun: