From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The market barely reacted Wednesday afternoon following Powell’s remarks, cooking up a big, fat nothing burger for investors.

Market participants took the decision to leave rates untouched in stride. After all, the pause in the hiking cycle was the expected outcome. Since investors already pegged the Fed, the valuable information hung on Powell’s words or forward guidance.

Yet judging by today’s performance, it appears the market just needed a little time to marinate. 

Yesterday’s failed reaction has given way to a delayed response as long-duration bonds scream higher. 

But before we get ahead of ourselves and rush out to buy the bond market bottom, let’s check the charts…

First, the monthly 10-year T-note chart:

JC broke it down last night in his monthly strategy session. Reviewing monthly candlestick charts sits atop our list of best practices, forcing us to reconnect with the underlying...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

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JC wanted to put this trade on yesterday (I think he did), but I wanted to wait until after the Fed announcement juuuuuust in case. You never know what shenanigans may take place on binary event risk days.

Well, my patience was rewarded. I am able to put the same delta-neutral credit spread on today at the same premiums that were offered yesterday, but now I don't have to sweat the fed.

Consumer Staples stocks, as a sector, have been displaying relatively high implied volatility in their options and so I wanted a name from this space that was stuck in a range.

The candidate that we all agreed on was Proctor & Gamble $PG:

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by Charles Bryan Daniels, director of Fifth Third Bancorp $FITB.

Daniels reported an FITB purchase worth $1,503,495.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by Charles Bryan Daniels, director of Fifth Third Bancorp $FITB.

Daniels reported an FITB purchase worth $1,503,495.

This is the video recording of our November 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

This is the video recording of the November 1, 2023, Hot Corner Insider Weekly Strategy Session.

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

We had a resting GTC order filled in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

We had a resting GTC order filled in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by David S. Taylor, director of Delta Air Lines $DAL.

Taylor reported a purchase of 10,000 shares, equivalent to $307,500.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The Bank of Japan is loosening its grip on the Japanese benchmark yield.

And the dollar, the euro, and the pound are ripping to fresh highs versus the yen.

Yes, the USD/JPY is off to the races – again.

But where can we define the next logical upside objectives?

Let’s dive in…

Before tackling our targets for the dollar-yen pair, check out the Japanese 10-year yield:

The BoJ’s yield curve control policy has, in large part, capped the USD/JPY rate as traders and policymakers play a game of chicken. Traders drive the dollar-yen pair higher, challenging the Japanese central bank's hold on interest rates.

Meanwhile, the BoJ steps in with policy decisions supportive of the yen.   

Market participants were expecting the move from the BoJ today – which it did by loosening its grip to 1.00% as an upper bound for the 10-year yield.

But it wasn’t enough in the eyes of the market as the EUR...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s largest insider transaction is another Form 4 filing by David S. Taylor, director of Delta Air Lines $DAL.

Taylor reported a purchase of 10,000 shares, equivalent to $307,500.

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is: