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ASC Mastermind

ASC Mastermind Week 9: Finding The Best Small-Cap Stocks

Below is the 9th ASC Mastermind  Course. In this video, I discuss my process for finding the best small-caps. 

If you don't pay attention to small-caps, you should start. 

At All Star Charts, we look at small-caps for two reasons: they give us valuable information about the market, and they give us many trade ideas. 

Small-caps might have a reputation for underperforming large-caps at the index level (at least, for most of the last 15 years), but at the individual stock level, this is where the biggest winners are often found. After all, every large-cap stock was once a small-cap. 

The challenge in trading small-caps however, is that there's so many of them. So we've come up with a number of scans specifically designed to help us identify the small-caps in the best position to pop. Here's how we do it. 

Enjoy.

 

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Chinese Equities Poised to Lead?

December 9, 2024

Chinese equities have been undergoing meaningful changes beneath the surface since they posted their best week ever back in October.

A new uptrend appears to be taking shape for these stocks.

Looking at the bigger picture, when we compare Chinese stocks to their U.S. counterparts, the relative trend sits at a critical support level.

Take a look at the Shanghai Composite $SSEC versus the S&P 500 $SPX over the last three decades:

 

This ratio is at a critical inflection point, suggesting a trend reversal and outperformance from Chinese stocks could be on the cusp of beginning.

I can't think of a more logical place for this to happen than here.

...
All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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[Weekly Gold Rush] This Junior Miner Is Making Moves 🕺📈

December 9, 2024

Several months ago, we discussed the blowout momentum readings for the junior gold and silver miners.

These momentum thrusts often initiate the beginning of significant trend reversals, not the end.

Since then, the price action has been lackluster. However, our technical analysis suggests that the bulls are on the cusp of stepping in and resuming the primary uptrend.

Let's delve into the charts and how we plan to profit from them.

Silver Miners $SIL are printing fresh 52-week highs relative to silver futures:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Canada Has Been Good To Us

December 9, 2024

We're coming up on expiration for a play in a Canadian Bank ($CM) that has treated us very well since the summer.

And now a new Canadian Bank is displaying signs of a fresh multi-year breakout. We're going to keep this Canada party rolling with today's new trade.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 12/9/24

December 9, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to ARKK position.
  3. Closed GLD at Profit Target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Tech Stocks = Zero Alpha

December 9, 2024

We're back this morning LIVE on Stock Market TV with The Best Morning Show in Finance

It's not just Technical Analysis all the time. It's actually quite the opposite. We have a lot of conversations with really smart people about all kinds of topics.

Today's guest is my pal Steve Reitmeister, who brings 40 years of experience, including being Editor-in-Chief at Zacks.com and CEO of Stocknews.com. 

...

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Under The Hood (12-09-2024)

December 9, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended December 6, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

 

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’...

Hot Corner Insider

Control Empresarial Raises Its PBF Stake to 24.2%

December 9, 2024

Control Empresarial de Capitales SA is at it again! 

The Mexican investment giant just dropped $9.25 million on more shares of PBF Energy Inc $PBF, pushing its ownership stake to a hefty 24.20%.

What’s noteworthy is that Control Empresarial continues to build its position in PBF despite the stock’s current trend being far from ideal. 

This move highlights Control Empresarial’s strong conviction and a clear long-term focus.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from December 6, 2024:

 

In another Form 4, director Jeffrey C. Campbell, who is also the CFO of American Express, bought 6,000 shares of Marathon Petroleum Corportion $MPC for $149.60, a total purchase of $897,642.

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Monday, December 9, 2024

December 9, 2024

Today's number is... 500

The S&P 500 is reaching all-time highs, yet more stocks are declining than advancing on most days.

That's what we saw last week! 

But does it matter? 

Below is a table showing instances of the S&P 500 reaching all-time highs, with more stocks declining than advancing, along with the weekly forward returns:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

The Takeaway: On Friday afternoon, there was a lot of discussion on X, with many bears highlighting that poor breadth readings while the S&P 500 index is at all-time highs are a bearish signal for the markets. 

I usually pay little attention to what perma bears are saying; instead, I prefer to dig into the data and decide whether the information is valuable or not.

Since 1950, there have been 25 instances where the  S&P 500 is reaching all-time highs, yet more stocks are declining than advancing on most days.

On average, a year later, the median return is 14.9%, with...

All Star Charts Crypto

📊 Leaning Bearish

December 8, 2024

As part of an educational effort, I've unlocked this previous paywalled post so anyone can access.

 

I've flipped my short-term bias (that looks out weeks) to bearish as the three largest tokens in the asset class test critical resistance levels. Ethereum has been the exception in the group over the last few weeks, but even now it looks set up to consolidate its gains.

If Ethereum, the one token that has helped support market breadth over the last two weeks, begins to pause, it could set the asset class up for a few weeks of indiscriminate selling. What would prove me wrong is seeing all three of these assets complete successful breakouts.

Regardless of whether sellers step in here, I think this is a good area to pay ourselves and take some profits off the table. It is prudent trading/investing to scale out of positions as the market works higher.

I think if we see any meaningful weakness here in the coming weeks, it will present itself as a great buying opportunity.

But in the interim, I think the best approach is to be patient.

Overview

Directional Bias

  • Short...
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These Short Sellers Are Cruisin' For A Bruisin'! 🍋📈

December 7, 2024

Speculative technology stocks have been mooning in recent weeks. Many of these stocks have rallied over 100% in the last month alone. 

Today, we're outlining a technology stock that rallied 700% in half a year after pivoting from blockchain infrastructure to high-performance computing. In other words, they pivoted from crypto to AI.

After consolidating for over a year, the stock put the finishing touches on a textbook basing pattern last week and is beginning a fresh leg higher.

But it's not just the chart that has us excited... the short sellers have gotten way too greedy, and we're going to exploit their weakness.

Let's get into the details:

 

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America Wins Christmas

December 7, 2024

Quick Update:  

According to the National Retail Federation, 197 million Americans shopped over the 5 days from Thanksgiving weekend through Cyber Monday. There are only 216 million Americans over 15 years old in the country. Even allowing for double-counting, that’s a good turn-out for a fake holiday with unexceptional discounts. 

Who won?

Well according to our Retail and Consumer expert Jeff Macke,

"Abercrombie won the mall. Walmart won Discount. William Sonoma and Dick’s Sporting Goods have won Home and Sports so hard they’re running out of chains to compete with. Amazon is winning the world and barely seems to care about (or profit from) retail at all." 

Make sure you download his...

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Don't Eat Cheap Sushi

December 7, 2024

The S&P500, Nasdaq100 and Global100 Index each made new all-time highs yesterday.

This is among many other stocks, sectors and indexes around the world that are also making new cycle highs. 

We've been buying stocks very aggressively, of course, because historically it pays much better to own stocks during bull markets vs doing the alternative.

We've gone back and done the work. It's just math. 

Those investors with too much cash, or too few stocks in their portfolios, have been paying the consequences.

The pushback I get, and have been getting over the past couple of years, tends to revolve around valuation and how stocks are "too expensive". 

I find that to be a hilarious reason to avoid buying stocks during a bull market.

Common excuses for fighting this powerful trend include, but are not limited to:

  • The 4th Highest Trailing P/E for the S&P500 in 124 years
  • US Stock Market Concentration is at a record high, when you add up the top 10 companies as a % of Total S&P500 market-cap
  • US Stocks are at a 75-year high vs the...
All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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(Commodities Weekly) These Setups Are Merry & Bright🎄

December 6, 2024

The New York Stock Exchange held its annual Tree Lighting Event this week. It was spectacular, as always.

But we're not here to talk about pine trees or LED lights. We're here to talk about commodities.

The NYSE has an array of vehicles to trade, most being equities.

They also have several commodity funds, which happen to offer asymmetric risk versus reward opportunities at current levels. Let's talk about them.

Our first setup is the Invesco DB Agriculture Fund $DBA:

 

The top five holdings are cocoa (14.8%), coffee (13%), live cattle (11.9%), sugar (11.6%), and corn (11.4%), several of which we've recently discussed.

As you can...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

SKYY’s the Limit

December 6, 2024

Lately, it’s become almost routine to see tech-related groups hitting fresh highs across the board. 

From Software and Internet to Cybersecurity, Digital Payments, and Fintech, the strength in these sub-sectors has been nothing short of remarkable.

Now we can add the Cloud Computing ETF $SKYY to this impressive list of tech indexes breaking out to new all-time highs.

 

Price just took out a critical resistance level at the prior cycle highs from 2021, surging past 120 without looking back. 

This level now serves as a key threshold to watch on any corrective action. Will former resistance turn into support?

As long as SKYY holds above those old highs, the path of least...