From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership withThe TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
Welcome back to our latest Under The Hood column where we'll cover all the action for the week ended February 3, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated on-and-off with our Minor Leaguers column.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
After falling for four straight months, the US dollar index $DXY is up three days in a row. Whether the near-term dollar strength turns into a more sustained trend is anyone’s guess.
Regardless, risk assets feel the pressure as many areas begin to correct, including precious metals.
Despite this recent selling pressure, we have clear levels to trade against when it comes to Silver and mining stocks.
"If you can't find a stock in America to buy you're not looking hard enough, JC"
"I live in America, JC"
"I don't know anything about those stocks in other countries, JC"
Trust me, I hear all these things.
Not so much from you guys, as it is my friends and colleagues in the business.
I feel like readers of Allstarcharts know better, and also we have a very global audience.
So the recency bias that oozes out of most American investors, who have gotten accustomed to the U.S. being the best place to be, forgot what it's like when that's not the case.
I remember last year getting yelled at and trolled online because I was talking about breadth improvement.
Just because their stupid computers weren't telling them that it was time to buy didn't stop me and my team from simply counting how many stocks were going up vs how many were going down.
Boy did that serve us well as stocks have absolutely ripped higher over the past couple quarters.
We've been in a raging bull market while most investors keep asking me when stocks are going to bottom.
That's how far removed most people are from reality.
In fact, market breadth has improved so much that we're now seeing more stocks making new 52-week highs than we saw at the peak in the S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq back in late 2021.
Yes, more stocks are making new highs today than there were at the "market's highs":
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Forget about what Powell said or whatever you heard on the street.
We’re still looking for risk assets to buy.
That includes stocks and commodities. Despite the dollar applying downside pressure to risk assets this morning, I want to share one commodity that looks ready to rip…
Check out the weekly chart of Cotton futures:
Cotton experienced a sharp decline last year following an impressive run-up off the 2020 lows. Fast forward to today, and it’s challenging a critical retracement level from below at approximately 89.
The bulls have hammered this level since October of last year. And the way I learned it…
The more times a level is tested, the higher the likelihood it breaks.
I want to catch a breakout in cotton above 88.30 in the March contract with an upside objective of 114.50 (Note: cotton is set to roll to the May contract based on volume next...