Whenever in doubt, zoom out. Monthly charts are a great way to do that. On November 30th we got new daily, weekly and monthly candles. This is a lot of new data that we have to work with.
The stock market has spoken and it seems clear that we’re stuck in between some pretty significant levels of support and resistance. This argues for more of a sideways mess type of a market vs a complete collapse, at least for now.
I'm on the east coast this week for the Thanksgiving holiday so I came into the city to say hi to friends. Catherine Murray and I had a nice conversation on BNN Bloomberg about US Stocks, Interest Rates and what Credit Spreads are suggesting for...
On October 30th we got more constructive on Indian stocks and put out a massive post with stocks to buy. Given that many of these trades were counter-trend in nature, we...
We could not be more thrilled to see stocks selling off. There has been more than enough evidence since the beginning of October to suggest that a more neutral approach to markets and/or selling stocks short has been the best course of action. Passive...
While updating our Canadian Chartbooks this weekend, I noticed a few that stood out as offering well-defined opportunities where the reward/risk is skewed in our favor. This short post will...
When we want to see what the market is doing on a given day, we all have our list of the ticker symbols we punch in: $DJIA or $SPY or $QQQ. Some people are more global and look at things like Gold, Crude Oil or Interest Rates and countries like...
Momentum and breadth diverged slightly in the major indices and many global markets, leading to a short-term bounce that's been sold into so far. Today I want to look at sector breadth to...
We look at markets globally because that’s what they are, global markets. The weakness in stocks around the world throughout the first couple of quarters this year was a heads up that something was wrong. We did not see the rotation...
I learned a long time ago from one of my early mentors, "Don't Fight Papa Dow". In other words, this is the most important index in the world. When someone asks you what the market did today, they're wondering how the Dow Jones Industrial...
There are assets out there that have a lower or no correlation with the rest of the U.S. Stock Market. These investments are really helpful, but even more so when we're looking for stocks to buy in an environment where we think most...
The TSX Composite is down roughly 6.75% year-to-date, with stocks getting hit hard since their July 13th, 2018 high. Only one sector is positive over that time period, but I think its recent...
Counter-trend trades are lower probability by nature, which means risk management is vital both when they work and when they don't. Taking the loss and reevaluating when the trade thesis is invalidated is something most traders think about, but...
Small-caps have been lagging for most of the year with that trend really accelerating in May, posing a major headwind for the broader market. One thing we...
I've just updated the Monthly Chartbook, and although October was a rough month for the equity market, our opinions really haven't changed all that much...
I am really enjoying these conversations with Phil Pearlman. This is the 3rd episode we do where we're discussing important topics about our feelings and emotions. Today's topic is Grit, and the advantages that someone with grit has these days over...
The last two months have not been kind to India's stock market, which is why we've been approaching it from a more neutral perspective for most of that time. Although big selloffs are never fun, the progression of this trend from its start to now has...