The media has been making quite the ruckus about 2018 and the "historic" volatility that the US Stock Market experienced, particularly in the fourth quarter. In this post I want to look at a...
As we wrap up 2018, it's time to forget everything that happened this quarter and this year and start from scratch. It’s irrelevant. We’re moving forward with fresh eyes. This is our Q1 2019 Playbook.
Part 1 of our Q1 2019 Playbook discusses big-picture themes, while this part focuses on the individual stock setups with the best reward/risk scenarios heading into the new...
It's been a great couple of months for Bond bulls. As unprepared investors worry about their portfolios and financial media outlets irresponsibly call this...
This is one of my favorite things to do: Forget everything that happened this quarter and this year and start from scratch. It doesn't matter what we did or how we felt in 2018. It's irrelevant. We're moving forward. This is my Q1 2019 Playbook....
From a public markets perspective the Marijuana Industry is small, so small that it could go to zero tomorrow and nobody would notice. In late August we started covering the space after...
Yesterday after the bell we sent out our Year End '18 ETF Risk Update to our Institutional Clients, covering 100+ of the most actionable and informative charts. To put this report together we...
Bonds Funds are breaking out to new 3-month highs. This comes after consensus this September was for higher US rates, and therefore, lower prices for bonds. When the market is leaning too much in any one direction, the unwind of that extreme...
Some stocks are going up and most stocks are going down. That's been the trend over the past 10 weeks or so. There is nothing out of the ordinary about that and cash heavy positions have helped us tremendously during this period.
Two weeks ago we wrote that the weight of the evidence was suggesting the major indexes in India were getting ready to resume lower. While we were a few days early...
We always hear the phrases "fading strength" or "selling into strength" from market participants, but what does that mean from a practical standpoint? How do you know what to sell? When do you...
Over the last three weeks Sun Pharmaceuticals has been doing its best Deutsche Bank impression, losing roughly a third of its value and trading at levels not seen since March 2013.
As the largest component of the Nifty Pharmaceuticals Index...
This post is a continuation of our "Free Chart of The Week", which focused on the use of an equally-weighted Pharmaceuticals Index to make the case that the...
I've seen way too much at this point to underestimate what the market is capable of doing. People call me all the time and say, "JC crazy market huh?" or "Did you see that crazy move in XYZ". Yea I saw it. So what? As Jay-Z said in...
You hear it all the time, "Cash is King". But we forget that it really can be. Not all the time, very few times in fact, but cash does serve a great purpose.
There are a lot of institutions that are not allowed to go to cash, as part of their...
Crude Oil is down roughly 35% over the last two months as record bullish sentiment unwound and prices fell in what was essentially a straight line. There hasn't been any reason to bottom-fish...
It's a market of stocks, after all. The indexes are one thing, but the components that drive them are another. Last week we laid out a list of the stocks we wanted to be...