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Alfonso’s Daily Note

Gold Continues to Shine

September 12, 2024

Gold has been getting a lot of attention lately as it presses against its highest levels in history.

This is an exciting time to be a gold enthusiast.

Just look at what the price is doing.

Here's a long-term chart of gold breaking out to new all-time highs:

 

After completing a decade-long base earlier this year, the price ripped higher, nearly in a vertical line, reaching the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.

Following that rally, the price coiled in a tight pattern, absorbing some of its gains, but it’s now back on track with a strong breakout this week.

The bottom line here is that it’s...

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People Love Their Pets

September 12, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

People love their pets... but investors seem to hate them. Could it be muscle memory, back to the glory days, when pets.com was one of the best shorts of the dot com? Are these companies just built poorly?  Whatever it is, short sellers love betting against these names. And lately, it seems like it is the whole group. While the short positioning suggests these companies are all bad, the trends tell us the opposite. Let's talk about the positioning in some of these pet stocks and how we can take advantage of it. 

First up is the $1.3B pet health & wellness services provider, Petco $WOOF:

 

We first covered Petco in June, after the retailer had its best 3-day rally in history.

With a 200% run-up in the month of May, the stock earned a few months of digestion, and that is exactly what's played out.

Last week, it rallied over 50% on the heels of earnings, sparking a new short squeeze.

With a 29% short...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/12/24

September 12, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in USO.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed QQQ for a profit.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. NEW: Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Tech Stocks Are Working

September 12, 2024

I'll be Streaming LIVE TODAY at 4 p.m. ET to talk about what that 20% correction in Semiconductors means for this market, where that money is going next, why markets are usually volatile ahead of November’s election, and what exactly we’re doing to profit from it all.

Click here to join us FREE.

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There are plenty of Technology stocks that are working.

You just have to look.

Our...

Hot Corner Insider

Control Empresarial Continues To Build Its PBF Position

September 12, 2024

The most significant insider activity on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Control Empresarial de Capitales SA.

The Mexico-based investment firm continues to build a position in PBF Energy Inc $PBF. This time, it made a purchase for $24 million.

AllianceBernstein LP filed an initial 13G for NCR Atleos Corp $NATL disclosing a stake of 10.2%.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from September 11, 2024:

 
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End of the Bull Market

September 11, 2024

That was it?

We can just take our ball and go home now?

The A.I. story has come and gone and the recession that they've been telling us about all these years is finally here?

So this is a major top in Nvidia - ending the whole damn thing?

That's your bet?

 

And this massive top in Microsoft is exactly that - a historic top? One for the record books?

So the largest company on the planet is about to complete this 8 months of institutional distribution and is about to bring down the entire Technology sector?

Keep in mind that Nvidia and Microsoft combine for over 41% of the S&P Technology Index. (Apple is only 5% of Tech now)

Here's what I'm being told is the end for Microsoft...

 

Is that the bet you're making?

This is the end of the bull market?

Because I see Consumer Discretionary as the leading sector over the past month. Look at those returns, all outperforming the major averages by a long shot:

 

And another thing.

You know how we've been pointing out that High Beta has severely underperformed Low Volatility?

Well look at this monster whipsaw.

Keep in mind that...

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[Options Premium] This Company Makes Money

September 11, 2024

Literally.

The trade today is in a company that actually makes money, minting coins. You know, the coins you drop in the pinball machine.

So, no matter how you think about it, the fundamentalists cannot say that this company does not make money. It always makes money.

Fun and word games aside, we've got a trade that has signaled the next big move and today's trading action is offering us a nice pullback in which to get involved at better prices.

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (09-11-2024)

September 11, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/11/24

September 11, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLI position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. NEW: Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Key Execs Continue To Buy PSEC Shares

September 11, 2024

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes from two Form 4 filings by the CEO and COO of Prospect Capital Corporation $PSEC.

The executives continue to purchase PSEC shares, this time combining in the amount of $3,971,250.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from September 10, 2024:

 
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Biotech Stocks Are Squeezing

September 10, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Last week, we outlined a short squeeze in Phathom Pharmaceuticals $PHAT, which has been working for us.

It doesn't seem like the market is finished squeezing the short sellers out of their biotechnology positions.

Today, we're discussing yet another biotech stock that has a ridiculously high days-to-cover ratio and short interest.

More importantly, the risk couldn't be more well-defined.

So, we're stepping up to the plate and taking another swing at a short squeeze.