Selling continues and now many broader market and sector indices are at or below support, so in this post, we'll look at some of those charts and assess the damage that's been done.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

On July 23rd the NY Chapter of the CMT Association had the pleasure of hosting Tony Dwyer, Chief Market Strategist at Canaccord Genuity.

Tony provided an interesting perspective to our Technical-oriented group because while he focuses on Macroeconomic and Fundamental data in addition to Technicals, he emphasized that his approach is always data-based, not opinion-based.

He performs Technical Analysis of Fundamental data.

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

Do you see how stocks and gold can make new highs at the same time? Who said they couldn't? Why does it have to be one or the other? The current market environment is a great reminder of this. Don't forget it.

So? Should we expect Gold and Silver to keep going? 

In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I discuss the Intermarket Relationships that help identify the next direction for US Interest Rates. These assets include Regional Bank Stocks, Utilities, Real Estate Investment Trusts, Copper, Gold and TIPS among others. Which way are Rates heading next?

With earnings season in full swing, unique opportunities with options often spring up.

It's pretty common for the prices paid for options to increase leading up to earnings announcements. It's a classic example of the battle of fear and greed playing out. On one hand you've got nervous shareholders purchasing insurance to protect themselves from any serious adverse price action, bidding the prices of puts higher. On the  other hand, you've got shark speculators looking to participate in a sharp reaction to make a quick buck in either direction, adding further buying pressure to both puts and calls.

The astute options participant can use this battle to leverage into his own vision of the big picture.

We've been writing about Financial Services/Bank Stock outperformance for a while, especially as it relates to the breadth of the broader market.

Despite Financial Services accounting for a third of the Nifty 500's weighting, they cannot support the entire market on their own. Especially if/when they need to correct...like they are now.

That brings us to today's charts.

This is a podcast about Technical Analysis and its practitioners. I think we've done a good job of bringing in some of the top technicians in the business, and in some cases, some of the best that ever did it. My goal when I first started this was to talk to people who bring different perspectives on the subject and on the markets in general. We've had Portfolio Managers, Analysts, Traders, Authors and Psychologists come on regularly over the past few years. Today I am thrilled to invite Riley Rosenberger to the podcast to get his point of view on Technical Analysis and what it feels like to start a career as a trader. Riley interned for us last year after spending some time training with SMB Capital in New York City. "Riley The Intern", as he's known in some circles, brings a unique perspective that we haven't heard on this podcast before. When he first decided that he wanted to learn about trading, his High School teacher in Colorado told him to think about doing something else. She said he didn't have the pedigree for that. I love that he ignored her and I...

I don't make it my primary business to go against the trend. Sure, it can be pretty satisfying and certainly pays well to nail a turn in a major trend. But it's a tricky business that has left behind a graveyard of wannabe Heroes.

But every so often the stars align, risk is clearly defined, and supporting evidence suggests a turn may be at hand.

Last week we outlined two Commodities that were ready to bounce and they're off to a great start.

Today we want to turn our focus to Base Metals, where one Commodity looks ready to reverse to the upside.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Tuesday's Mystery Chart is one of my favorite charts right now, so thank you everyone for your feedback and participation.

I received a lot of answers, but most of you were buyers and the rest were split between doing nothing and selling.

With that as our backdrop, let's get into it.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We've been watching some of the Energy ETFs we track most of this year for potential mean-reversion opportunities on the long side.

We recently discussed for our Institutional Clients an opportunity in the Small-Cap Energy ETF (PSCE), which rallied 17.50% from its 2018 lows before reversing back to those levels again.

The main issue in Energy remains that there appears to be an attractive mean reversion opportunity at the ETF level, but when we drill down into individual stocks there aren't many clean setups...making it difficult to identify what the main drivers of this move higher would be.

Let's take a look.

For the purpose of this exercise, we're going to look at Oil Services ETF (OIH) because its risk management level is the cleanest of the Energy subsectors.

In December prices retested their 2001 lows near 14.00 as momentum got deeply oversold, leading us to believe that a retest of that level with a bullish divergence would occur and create a sustainable bottom in the space. Here we are seven months later and we've gotten just that, except we're not seeing the upside...