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Follow the Flow (05-22-2023)

May 22, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...

The Chart Report: Private Access

The Buzz 🐝 Week 12

May 22, 2023
Welcome to The Buzz! 

Week starting May 22, 2023 | Edition No. 12 

Our mission at The Buzz is simple: to identify and profit from the most-talked-about stocks on social media. 

Every week, we compile a list of stocks trending tickers that are experiencing a large increase in the investor interest. We use social media data from our partners at Likefolio. 

In each weekly report, we outline 1-3 actionable trades. We also take a closer look at a few other charts from our list. Some weeks will have more actionable setups than others, as we don’t want to force trades. 

With any bottoms-up scan, many of these stocks are at the mercy of the broader market. We will always consider the current market environment when identifying our long/short ideas. 

None of these setups are guaranteed to work. Profitable trading requires you to take small losses and let your winners run. If price closes below our risk levels, we want to take the small loss and move on, to preserve capital for future opportunities. 

As always, feel free to reach out to me at Patrick@thechartreport.com...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Mining Stocks Lose Key Support

May 22, 2023

The bears have found a new home: gold mining stocks.

Silver’s breakdown earlier this month raised the caution flag for the entire precious metals space. 

Less than two weeks later, gold futures and mining stocks are falling under the wrath of increased selling pressure. Precious metals bears are winning the battle as support levels fall to the wayside. 

Meanwhile, the bulls are reluctant to leave without a fight…

All Star Charts Gold Rush

Mining Stocks Lose Key Support

May 22, 2023

The bears have found a new home: gold mining stocks.

Silver’s breakdown earlier this month raised the caution flag for the entire precious metals space. 

Less than two weeks later, gold futures and mining stocks are falling under the wrath of increased selling pressure. Precious metals bears are winning the battle as support levels fall to the wayside. 

Meanwhile, the bulls are reluctant to leave without a fight…

Let’s review the recent action in mining stocks.

While I always prefer a price chart, I also like Grant’s moving average tables.

He measures the closing prices of all 30 components of the PHLX Gold and Silver Mining Index $XAU against (above or below) multiple moving averages, from five days at the far left of the table to 250 days at the far right.

This provides an excellent read on trends across multiple timeframes.

Here’s the table heading into the May 5 close:

 

A sea of green! Sellers hadn’t made their way to these mining names just yet.

Fast-forward a couple weeks, and the study presents a far different picture:

 

Red dominates the table across shorter time frames, displacing the...

Divergence City

May 21, 2023

Some things are changing.

Have you noticed?

Let's keep something in mind. During healthy market environments, you historically see correlations falling.

It's when volatility spikes in bear markets that correlations all go to 1.

So are these recent divergences just further evidence that this is a strong market for stocks?

The breadth expansion and sector rotation we keep seeing certainly points to that.

So let's take a look.

Happy New 52-week High

May 20, 2023

I've been at this for 20 years. I've seen a lot of uptrends and bull markets in my day. I've studied many more that came before me.

Along the way, do you know what you'll find a lot of in bull markets?

New 52-week highs.

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The Hall of Famers (05-19-2023)

May 19, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. You can click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month. ...

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Breakout Alert: Cotton Revisits the Scene of the Crime

May 19, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Watch out for cotton!

Back in February, I highlighted a bullish setup in cotton futures

Buyers were hammering a key retracement level from below. The way I learned it, "The more times a level is tested, the higher the likelihood it breaks."

Three months later…

The July contract is knocking on the door – again!

How polite.

Check out July cotton nearing the January 2022 closing high of 88.34:

That’s my level.

If and when the July contract breaks above 88.50 (let’s give it a little room), I like it long with an initial target of approximately 106. I’m also watching for a 14-day RSI reading greater than 70 for bullish confirmation.

Not all contracts are approaching buy zones this week....

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[Options Premium] Adding Some Short Exposure

May 19, 2023

It's been a good run for many of our bullish long trades. As such, it wouldn't surprise me if stocks took a bit of a breather soon.

And considering so many stocks we've been tracking are starting to look pretty extended, I'm going to go fishing in the weak stocks pond to find some opportunities for portfolio diversification in the event that stocks go sideways or dip a little bit in the weeks ahead.

One nice thing is the stock market lift this week has really zapped options premiums across the board. So today's trade offers us a somewhat rare opportunity to get responsibly short with long puts.