In 2025, we’re in historic territory for bearish sentiment.
We’ve now seen 14 consecutive weeks where AAII Bears have outnumbered AAII Bulls.
And it gets even more extreme with the AAII Bears, which have stayed above 50% for 11 straight weeks.
Here’s the chart:
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The red line in the top panel shows the number of consecutive weeks where AAII Bears > AAII Bulls.
The red line in the bottom panel tracks the number of consecutive weeks where AAII Bears have remained above 50%.
The Takeaway: This is a prolonged period of pessimism that deserves attention. We have seen 14 consecutive weeks during which the AAII Bears have outnumbered the AAII Bulls, marking the 5th longest stretch of bearish sentiment on record.
The extreme data does not stop there; we have also seen that for the past 11 straight weeks, the percentage of AAII Bears has exceeded 50%. This level of bearish sentiment has never persisted for this length of time before.
Every weekend, I dive into our insider activity tracker looking for the most interesting and bullish buys — and let me tell you, this week stood out with a rare mix of high-conviction buys.
Let’s break it down:
The most important insider buy this week came from Organon & Co $OGN.
Both the CEO and CFO stepped in together, scooping up nearly $400K worth of stock.
You don’t often see that kind of coordinated action from the top two execs — and when you do, it usually means they’re expecting significant upside, and soon.
Next, we’ve got MiMedx Group $MDGX, where the CEO Joseph H. Capper bought over $1.2 million worth.
That’s a strong show of confidence in a biotech name that’s been flying under the radar.
Hillman Solutions $HLMN also saw some bullish buying — their CFO & Treasurer reported nearly...
We heard from some of the biggest names in the market - including several Magnificent 7 giants, the world’s largest financial company (Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A / $BRK.B), and plenty more.
Amazon.com $AMZN reported a double beat, but was punished for it. This was the 4th consecutive quarter of the market not rewarding the stock for its earnings report.
Apple $AAPL was also punished for reporting a double beat. The stock has experienced negative earnings reactions in 6 of the last 8 quarters.
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important...
Stretch your legs and call this THE RE-AWAKENING TRADE. Implied volatility is through the floor in today's name, as traders have been bored to sleep on this former high-flier, making long-term calls cheap and a great potential reward-to-risk.
Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.
Here's what stood out today:
📌 KKR $KKR – Director Robert Scully bought 13,250 shares, equivalent to $1.5 million.
This is the largest Form 4 of the day and a notable show of conviction.
📌 Caterpillar $CAT – Director David MacLennan disclosed a $120,000 buy, putting fresh skin in the game at this industrial bellwether.
CAT often acts as a leading indicator for the broader economy — and insider interest here could be telling.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 8, 2025:
Click the table to enlarge it.
📌 Solaris Energy Infrastructure $SEI – Millennium Management just...
Spec‑growth is alive and well, as more and more offensive names are taking center stage for the current rally.
We continue to find bullish themes in specific industry groups from cyber, to quantum computing, and space & exploration.
Investors are reaching out on the risk spectrum, and we’re ready to ride these trends with them.
Nothing screams “risk-on” louder than small‑modular nukes feeding AI’s power appetite.
I’ve been referring to this basket of stocks as the “new nuclears,” but they actually have some really cool science, not to mention- a secular trend, behind them.
Let’s dive in.
At the Index level, the Nuclear Energy ETF $NLR is shaping up and threatening to break out of a monster base.
Take a moment to study this post ... https://bartscharts.com/2020/09/01/parabolic-moves/ there is a LOT going on but, basically, using geometry that we learned in Elementary/Middle school you will see the EXACT top on MO after a parabolic run. Now, after this amazing run, we have a 'near perfect' SELL pattern. It's ALL about balance, form and proportion. How do you balance an emotionally fueled parabolic rally? A corresponding THUMP that neutralizes the positive bullish mania. It HAS to be that way folks ... yin/yang, day/night, male/female, etc. etc. It does and will balance! For now, after the parabolic move higher and then the corresponding thump to balance the emotions we are now staring at a 'near' perfect SELL PATTERN. Got to take this one folks ...Bart