Key Takeaway: The bulls are raising their voices in excitement. For the first time this year, momentum and breadth are improving in tandem. Despite the bullish developments in recent weeks, the structural trend remains lower. This newfound optimism builds upon months of selling pressure replaced by broadening pockets of near-term strength. Now that the ball is in the bull's court, they have to do something with it. This means proving they have what it takes to stay in the game, and that we’re experiencing strength beyond an oversold bounce.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Investors Finding A New Dance Partner?
It would be premature to suggest that the long-running (and recently renewed) love affair that investors have with equities has reached an end. Equity funds continue to see inflows and the monthly AAII asset allocation survey shows household equity exposure remaining in the mid-60’s despite consumer sentiment holding near historic lows. But at the margin,...
Every idea that we put on at All Star Charts starts with a technical setup that we like. We are students of price action and that supercedes everything.
It's nice when our technical analysis lines up with "other" factors that may support our idea, be they fundamental, news, or in this case, insiders and activist activity.
Here's what our team noticed in an email to ASC subscribers earlier this week:
The most significant insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing for Pinterest $PINS.
Now that the second quarter blackout period is behind Pinterest, CEO William J. Ready is also buying shares. He just reported a rather sizable $5 million purchase.
We can’t think of many things more bullish than the CEO getting involved...
Or did we just see the initial thrust off the lows before a more sustainable move progresses into the end of the year?
That's a good question to be asking.
And while we don't ever actually know until after the fact anyway, we've set these 2 levels as clear lines in the sand for arguably two of the most important assets on the planet: The S&P500 and Ethereum.
The bottom line is this: If the S&P500 is above 4200 and Ethereum is above 1800 - YOU CANNOT BE SHORT.
The market has brought up back to the point where we have to increase the headroom on the Adani Group charts again!
These updates have been such great reminders of riding the trend, don't you think? The way these stocks have taken off and continue to move higher is quite the story!
So without any further delay, let's take a look at the levels we're following next!
For starters, let's see where our custom equally weighted index is headed. Of course, we know it's moving higher, but it's important to note the trend.
Well, there we have it! Higher highs, higher lows. Held on to the support zone and bounced off of it. It's now got a little more room before it runs into resistance.
How funny would it be if the US Dollar Index $DXY peaked with the expectations of a 100 basis point rate hike last month?
And what would that mean for risk assets and the stock market rally?
These are just a few questions that float across my mind as I look through currency charts.
To be clear, the DXY isn't showing any signs of a top. Momentum remains in a bullish regime, and the index is holding above the upper bounds of its former range.
I’m not going out on a limb here and calling a top in the US dollar. Instead, this is all about execution and remaining receptive to all possibilities.
We adjusted our international equity exposure to stay in harmony with global leadership and are putting some money to work domestically following the late-July breadth thrust.
This All Star Charts +Plus Monthly Playbook breaks down the investment universe into a series of largely binary decisions and tactical calls. Paired with our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard and our Playbook Chartbook, this piece is designed to help active asset allocators follow trends, pursue opportunities, and manage risk.
In Focus for August: July brought some relief for investors in diversified portfolios but 2022 has still been a forgettable year in many regards. From an equity market perspective, it’s been a year heavy on volatility and light on strength (more like 2008 than 2017). Bonds haven’t fared much better. Yields are off their highs, but the trend continues to experience one of its most persistent increases in the past 4 decades. It is the persistence of these trends that might be most challenging for investors in the current environment. Bouts of market volatility in recent years, even when they have been severe (like during the COVID lockdowns), have...
After some work and many days of cleaning data, we're happy to introduce some great new metrics we're working up to supplement our cryptocurrency research.
Before we dive in, we want to set a brief framework.
It’s important we lay down a foundation before analyzing this data; there’s little point dedicating the man hours to the research if we don’t know why and how to apply it.
Today’s most significant insider transaction report is another Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.
Buffet continues to increase his position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY, as he just reported an additional purchase, this one worth roughly $390 million.
Today we have a stock from the Service sector making its way to the Trade of the Week post. It is definitely a crowd favourite, and I'm sure you'd like to note down the levels for this one! Let's check it out!
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.