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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Creating Our Own Income Stream From Gold

July 25, 2022

Ok, maybe that title is a little dramatic. I couldn't help myself. I recently had a conversation with a trader friend who was dunking on Gold Bugs about the lack of income stream from Gold. It's just a damn rock! he said.

Anyway, I don't have any strong opinions about Gold either way. I just like to follow price and volatility. And right now, the options market may be offering us a tempting opportunity to collect some premium as the recent gold selloff has spooked the gold bulls a little bit.

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A Low-Conviction Tape

July 25, 2022

From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

Last week, we advocated again for a patient approach.

We remain cautious about buying too heavily into short-term breakouts. This is a tape where whipsaws and fake-outs can be anticipated.

Many names find themselves firmly below overhead supply, and we expect any short-term strength to be aggressively sold into.

In the depths of this most recent drawdown, market participants were approaching their maximum pain thresholds. It makes sense that the market finds supply from holders looking to break even on their losses.

There are two ways to approach this tape from a trading perspective:

 

 

Insider Data Shifts From Bullish to Bearish

July 25, 2022

We’ve seen very little insider activity the past few weeks and today is no different, as we have just a single Form 4 on our Hot List.

This lack of interest is reflected in the ratio of insider sells to insider buys, which just hit its highest level since early 2021.

Chart of the Day: This is it!

July 25, 2022

This to me is the big one.

The chart below is the one I'm watching the closest.

You guys have been hearing me pound the table about the US Dollar and what a hard time stocks and crypto will (continue to) have in a stronger Dollar environment.

So here you have it. This is the Emerging Markets ETF $CEW back to the same level where it bottomed out the only 2 other times it was ever down here:

Silver ETF Hits New All-time Lows relative to the S&P500

July 23, 2022

I remember 2010-2011 like it was yesterday.

Precious metals were all the rage.

Silver miners were the meme stocks of their day.

There was so much money being made in Silver.

And then all that changed.

No one has heard from those silver surfers ever again.

And now here we are watching the Silver ETF $SLV close the week at its lowest price in history relative to the S&P500:

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

July 22, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Stocks have rallied off of their mid-June lows, but it goes without saying that 2022 has still been a year marked by volatility and an absence of strength. In fact it has been historic (or nearly so) on both accounts. In terms of volatility, only two years (2008 and 2002) finished with a higher percentage of days on which the S&P 500 closed up or down by 1% or more than we have seen so far in 2022 (just shy of 50%). No year has come close to as low a percentage of days with more new highs than new lows. So far we have had seven in 2022: two in January, three in March and one each in April and May. That is just 5% of the trading days so far this year. The next closest year was 2008, which had new highs > new lows on just 13% of the days. At the opposite extreme is 2017, regarded by many as one of the best years in stock market history. That year, 90% of the days saw more stocks making new highs than new lows, only 3% of the days had the S&P 500 moving by more than 1%, and the S&P 500 booked a nearly 20% gain.

...

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Will Commodities Find a Floor?

July 22, 2022

From the desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities have been on the ropes for more than a month. As for commodity stocks, they’ve been under pressure since the start of Q2.

But the steep decline in these inflationary assets is beginning to slow – and it couldn’t happen at a more logical place.

The CRB Index and numerous bellwether commodity stocks are digging in and finding support at key levels. Whether these levels hold is anyone’s guess.

But the first step of the base building process is to stop going down. 

Let’s take a look.

First up is the CRB Index:

After a meteoric rise off the pandemic lows, commodities are experiencing their first significant correction in two years.

It’s not surprising the index stopped going up at a shelf of former highs from 2012 and 2014. There’s obviously a significant amount of resistance at those levels.

Now, the question is whether demand will come in at this critical shelf of...

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International Hall of Famers (07-22-2022)

July 22, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market-cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

Hot Corner Insider

The Inside Scoop (07-22-2022)

July 22, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

It’s been a while since we had two long ideas from The Hot List in a single week. 

But with markets in rally mode for the past month, we’ve had some strong stocks pop up on our scan.

While new highs are hard to trust in this tape, any names setting up for breakouts are stocks we want on our radar.

If they're unable to make a decisive upside resolution now, they'll probably be some of the first stocks to do so when the selling pressure finally eases.

We talked about one name we can put in this category earlier in the week, which you can read here. Today, we have another one.

Commodity Check: Jeera July 2022

July 22, 2022

Base Metals have been correcting off late and tearing through their support zones. Agricultural commodities on the other hand have displayed resilience during this market correction. While prices have moved lower, the inherent strength is still visible.

Today we're here to discuss a commodity that is trading at new multi-year highs: Jeera.

Panic Buying Ensues

July 22, 2022

You see what happens when the US Dollar isn't ripping higher every day?

I wasn't making this up.

It's all about the Dollar my friends.

And Dollar Futures aren't even off by that much, just down a couple of points over the past week.

But still, the Dow is up almost 2000 points, Ethereum is up 60% and Active Managers just posted their second highest weekly increase in exposure in the history of the NAAIM survey:

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Buying a Bounce in Bonds

July 21, 2022

From the desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley  

Buying bonds is finally becoming an attractive proposition again.

For months, we’ve noted the lack of confirmation from intermarket ratios such as copper versus gold, regional banks versus REITs, and high-yield bonds versus US Treasuries.

These ratios typically trend in the same direction as interest rates. But this hasn't been the case since last year.

And when we consider that yields are trapped below major resistance zones, we really like the counter-trend opportunity bonds are offering at these levels.

Let’s review a few setups from our Q3 Playbook we like for buying a bounce in bonds.

When it comes to getting long Treasuries, it’s all about the former 2018 lows. It doesn’t matter what...