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The Daily Number

The Market Just Flipped. Did You Catch It? ⬆️

May 18, 2025

Today's number is... 49.5%

49.5% of S&P 500 stocks are now in strong uptrends.

Here’s the chart:

 

 Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The blue line in the top panel shows the price of the S&P 500 index.
  • In green is the % of S&P 500 stocks above both their 200-day and their 50-day moving averages, indicating a longer-term uptrend.
  • In yellow is the % of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day but below their 50-day moving averages. This indicates a longer-term uptrend but a short-term mess.
  • In red is the % of S&P 500 stocks below their 200-day and below their 50-day moving averages, indicating a longer-term downtrend.

The Takeaway: This chart does a good job of showing what’s really happening under the surface. And something just changed.

For 47 trading days, more S&P 500 stocks were trading below both their 200-day and 50-day moving averages. That trend had been in place for a while.

Now, that’s flipped.

Nearly half of the S&P 500 stocks...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

(Commodities Weekly) Holding the Line 🛡️

May 17, 2025

The S&P GSCI Commodity Index just bounced from a critical level… again.

You don’t need to be a technician to see the importance of 500 on this chart. 

It was the top in 2018. It was the ceiling again in 2021. 

Since then, it’s become the most important shelf of support in the entire commodity complex.

Now, after retesting this level multiple times in the last two years, we’re once again sitting on the edge.

Polarity is like magic 🔮 

Support and resistance are not random. 

This 500-level has acted as a magnet for prices in recent years. 

If this shelf gives way, it opens the door to a much deeper reset in the commodities market.

However, for now, the level is holding steady.

Let’s talk about what this index is made of...

The S&P GSCI is primarily focused on one thing above all else: Energy.

  • Energy makes up 57.4% of the index in 2025, led by:
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The Strazza Letter

Down with the Dollar

May 16, 2025

The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to sit near the top of our macro checklist.

It’s been one of the more important tells of the cycle, not just for currencies—but for equities, commodities, and global risk assets.

Traditionally, the dollar moves opposite to US stocks. But as technicians, we know better than to marry intermarket correlations. These relationships ebb and flow, strengthen, weaken, invert, and sometimes go completely quiet. That’s normal.

Late last year, a big shift took place as stocks began to...

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

Video: The Best Week Ever

May 16, 2025

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

If a few weeks ago we had 'The Week From Hell" as I called it, then this week was "The Best Week Ever". 

My Retail Roundup Portfolio ripping right now thanks to the changing market sentiment. And our newest position just had its second-best week as a public company. 

So I'm in a great mood! 

Below is my latest update on the portfolio, as well as a couple of new ideas for stocks that I could be interested in soon.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] #FAAFO

May 16, 2025

I talk all the time about how the options market makers are not stupid. Options are priced the way they are, when they are, because options market makers know what they are doing. Usually.

But once in a blue moon, they can get caught sleeping. 

I think I may have found one such opportunity and I want to pounce on it today.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/16/25

May 16, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolling XRT to July options.
  3. Closed IBB at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

The Hall of Famers (05-16-2025)

May 16, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

Retail’s Red Flag 🩸

May 16, 2025

Walmart $WMT just delivered mixed results, and the market punished the stock.

Shares slipped -0.5% on the day, marking the second consecutive negative earnings reaction for the world’s largest retailer.

It’s not that the numbers were terrible. They weren’t. 

But the guidance was a huge disappointment. 

With revenue growth flattening and consumer trends appearing somewhat fragile, investors are clearly adopting a more cautious stance.

Additionally, the stock is exhibiting signs of exhaustion. It has carved out a potential multi-month distribution pattern.

Walmart’s still a bellwether for the U.S. consumer. 

However, if this stock starts to break down, it might be indicating more about the market than just the company.

So what else did we learn from yesterday's earnings reactions? Let's dive into the details.

Here are the latest earnings reports from the S&P 500 👇 

*Click the image to enlarge it

Steris $STE had the best reaction score after...

Hot Corner Insider

Founder Joe Ford Reports a Big $WEST Buy

May 16, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Westrock Coffee  $WEST – Founder Joe T. Ford brewed up a $596,000 purchase, adding extra caffeine to the roll‑up story just as shares try to set a tradable bottom. 

📌 Rocket Companies  $RKT – VA Partners filed an original 13D at 9.90 %, planting activist roots in the mortgage platform.

📌 Solaris  $SEI – Millennium Management boosted its stake to 5 % from 2.94 %, betting shale’s water midstream is still a stealth growth niche.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 15, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 ...

All Star Charts Premium

Junior Hall of Famers (05-15-2025)

May 15, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/15/25

May 15, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLV.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed XME at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Madison Avenue Partners Reports a 6.4% $KROS Stake

May 15, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Keros Therapeutics  $KROS – Madison Avenue Partners filed an original 13G reporting an initial stake of  6.40%, jumping straight onto the cap table of this rare‑disease biotech.

📌 Tyra Biosciences  $TYRA – Commodore Capital unveiled a new 5.20% stake in the precision‑oncology up‑and‑comer, another fresh biotech bet.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 14, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Rep. Kelly Morrison’s Tech Dips – Rep. Morrison bought $15,000 to $50,000 slices of Broadcom  $AVGO and Meta  $META, adding more Capitol Hill cash to semis...