US equities are officially the laggards of the world.
The S&P 500 is underperforming just about every stock market around the globe this year.
After four months of steady underperformance, a growing list of international indexes are making new 52-week highs relative to the US.
While these ratios might be stretched over the short-term, when you zoom out, they are taking the shape of primary trend reversals.
All this tells us is to expect more leadership from international stocks in the future. I think we should get used to a global market of stocks that is no longer dominated by the United States.
And this is great news. Participation broadening around the world simply means more investment opportunities for us.
So I’m all about international these days. The first watchlist and chartbook I’m looking at most mornings is our international ETF universe.
The bulls are saying its global rotation, and the bears are saying it won’t work without US stocks.
Both takes make sense. But, they’re just takes.
Here’s where we are…
Stock markets around the world experienced fierce selloffs back in March.
Then in April, this bearish action was followed by some of the most historic rallies in recent history.
There was broad participation to the downside. And now we’re seeing the same in the opposite direction. We’re in the middle of a synchronized global rebound rally.
And every country, region, factor, sector, and industry group looks different. They all come with their own unique characteristics in terms of how much they sold off, how resilient they were, and now, how strong they are, measured by the bounce.
So, while some things obviously look better than others, and some groups still look...
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Welcome to TheJunior International Hall of Famers.
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.
Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.
This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:
Click table to enlarge view
And here’s how we arrived at it…
We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...
There is a real power to always staying open-minded.
We can’t be dogmatic with our approach or our positions on the market. It’s dangerous.
The data is always changing, and we need to be nimble and ready to change with it.
That brings me to the point I’ve been thinking about more than anything lately.
I think it is absolutely imperative that we remain open to the possibility of a v-bottom.
While there is plenty of data that suggests this is more likely to be a prolonged bottoming process… there is also a growing amount of evidence indicating we could rip right back to where we were.
I mean, it’s already happening overseas.
MSCI country indexes like Germany, the United Kingdom, Japan,...
Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.
We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
I can’t remember a time in my career when I thought about these stocks so much.
One of the first things I do every morning is check the BRL/USD pair and Bovespa.
That tells me all I need to know about how my Brazilian ADRs are trending. I’ve built positions in a number of them just recently.
Some are doing well, others like PBR and VALE, not so much.
But, here’s the thing. Investors are dumping their USD exposure and looking around the globe for new opportunities.
I think this has a lot less to do with trade war narratives and rumors, and a lot more to do with the fact that the US has dominated the investment world for a decade and a half.
America has been the only game in town for anyone looking to generate alpha.
Of course, it couldn’t last forever.
Stocks around the world are dirt cheap compared to the premium multiples found here.
For example, my two favorite Brazilian ADRs are trading at single-digit P/E multiples right now.
First of all, congrats to Goldman Sachs, now the largest component in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
The last time a bank headlined the Dow was JP Morgan back in 1998.
That’s pretty cool, but that’s all it is. Just a fun fact.
I would say it’s a sign of the times that a tech stock didn’t fill the shoes of UNH, but the Dow is a bit funky in the sense that it is price-weighted instead of cap-weighted.
Speaking of Papa Dow, let’s talk about what’s next for the major averages following the latest beating for US equities.
All the large-cap indexes violated their VWAPs anchored from the April 7 pivot lows this morning. They all tested these levels and held just last week.
That’s been the line in the sand for me as far as a retest of the lows is concerned.
With every day the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow are below these VWAPs, the higher the likelihood we’re headed back to the lows...
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Here’s this week’s list:
*Click table to enlarge view
We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.
We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.
However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.
Welcome to TheJunior Hall of Famers.
This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.