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Summer Vacation Stocks
 

 

There is no time off from stock research. Not in the consumer space. Everything you do, everything you consider doing, on vacation is a datapoint. I can't afford to relax on vacations. I can't...

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Mid-year review and forecast video for Retail Roundup+ Members!

 

Happy 4th of July!

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Chill

Written Portfolio Update of the RoundUp10 and Starting 10 portfolios through June 13, 2025

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SFIX

There's been a new addition to the market-trouncing Retail Roundup10 Portfolio.

Click here to see what stock I'm adding...

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SFIX

Stitch Fix keeps refusing to die. The all-but-forgotten clothing box membership service is seeing shares jump after losing less and selling more than analysts expected in Q3. What should you do with shares near 2025 highs and up more than 100% since...

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Lulu

I told you Lululemon had its work cut out for it when it reported earnings Thursday night but I didn't think it would be quite this bad. With shares off 20% you can bet value shoppers will at least try to protect old lows of ~$250 for this...

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Mind the Gap!

As feared, Gap was a sell-the-news moment, with shares crumbling 20%, dragging the Round-10 Portfolio to its first, and only, down week of the month.

Up 10% since March 20 and finding opportunities for the back half of the...

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santa

The spread between valuations between classes of retailers has never been higher and shows no signs of contracting. The looming oligarchy in retail. 

Plus, 5 Below preview: Is this the most Tariff Exposed Company on Earth? 

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) closed the week up 0.5%, essentially unchanged. But under the surface, there's been a ton of action. 

...
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dude

"Life's but a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing" - Abercrombie and Fitch's stock.

I promised drama when the mall stocks reported. As usual, the Mall delivered in spades.

Gap disappointed in a way they didn't...

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Gap shares are getting smoked by 20%(!) early Friday after the company Beat by too little and Guided to not enough. 

Time to Buy or Bail?

Let's break down the quarter and figure it out... 

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Beat

Fun facts most people don't know about Build-a-Bear Workshop:

  • It still exists and is publicly traded under the ticker $BBW
  • Shares are up nearly 50x since the COVID lows
  • The stock went public in October 2004, hit $35 two...
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anf

Abercrombie didn't have to be perfect. With shares sitting 50% lower since January sentiment around $ANF was somewhere between "skeptical" and "afraid to look". Word was that traffic was bad at Abecrombie's name-brand stores, leaving Hollister, the...

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anf

Abercrombie didn't have to be perfect. With the stock down 50% since January, even after a HUGE bounce, Abercrombie & Fitch just had to be decent. Anything better than about a 20% guidance cut would have been acceptable. Word was that foot traffic...

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Portfolio

Another strong week for the Round-Up 10 Portfolio with gains last Friday (which now seems like a million years ago) taking us up to over 12% since our March 20 start date, handily beating the S&P500 and the XRT Consumer Discretionary ETF.

...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

We're still in the heart of retail earnings season. This week we heard from names like TGT, TJX, and WSM. Next week we've got DKS, COST, M, BBY, DKS,...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

If a few weeks ago we had 'The Week From Hell" as I called it, then this week was "The Best Week Ever". 

My Retail Roundup...

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On Crushes

On had to be perfect going into earnings. Fast growth company and priced accordingly. On isn't cheap. It wasn't a month ago at $35 and wasn't when I bought it yesterday at $50.70. What On has transcends cheap. On has momentum, good management, and a...

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