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[Weekly Gold Rush] Sentiment Check

December 2, 2024

Since gold futures hit our second target, the entire complex has undergone a corrective wave. 

While the market hasn't given us the all-clear signal yet, the correction seems closer to the end than the beginning.

Demand for gold worldwide continues to increase, and our intermarket analysis suggests the party is just starting for gold bugs across the galaxy. 

Moreover, our COT sentiment indicator is flashing a buy signal:

 

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Same Range, Same Playbook for The US Dollar

December 2, 2024

The US Dollar Index $DXY is sitting at the top end of the range it’s been stuck in for the past two years, and the stage is set for a move lower. 

This has significant implications for a variety of asset classes, including precious metals, equities, and Bitcoin, all of which stand to benefit from a weaker dollar environment.

Back in October, Steve highlighted the divergence in the dollar and the potential for a bounce higher

In a matter of days, the dollar ripped in a nearly vertical line toward the upper bounds of its range.

Today, the picture is very different than it was back in October. 

With a tough seasonal period setting in, along with resistance overhead and a bearish momentum divergence, our tactical outlook for the dollar is lower from here.

A few weeks ago, the dollar briefly broke out of its...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] In the Mood for Higher Prices

December 2, 2024

The market's mood is for higher prices. It's a Bull Market.

Thus, it's no surprise that a data company providing important information to investors is riding the wave higher.

It pays to buy dips in strong stocks during bull markets, and today, one such opportunity is presenting itself.

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The Minor Leaguers (12-02-2024)

December 2, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 12/2/24

December 2, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XME.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed SMH at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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The Best Morning Show In Finance

December 2, 2024

Join us this morning and every weekday LIVE at 8:30AM ET for the Best Morning Show in Finance.

I know there were some shows out there before we got here. And there are certainly folks out there trying to create new morning shows.

Good luck!

Their friends aren't as smart as our friends. Their friends aren't as cool as ours.

And their friends aren't willing to open up and share their thoughts with the world as regularly as our friends.

I know we're blessed. Not everyone can have a crew like ours. And that's why I introduce them to you every single weekday. It's the least I can do.

...

Hot Corner Insider

Founder Sardar Biglari Reports a $1 Million BH Purchase

December 2, 2024

Today’s insider transactions feature a couple of power moves worth noting.

First up, Sardar Biglari, the founder, chairman, and CEO of Biglari Holdings Inc $BH, reported a significant insider buy of $1 million via a Form 4 filing. 

Biglari is known for his hands-on leadership and calculated investments, making this a bold vote of confidence in his company’s outlook.

Biglari now owns about $26.5 million worth of class A common stock.

Meanwhile, over at retail giant Walmart Inc $WMT, director Robert Edward Moritz Jr. scooped up 5,446 shares worth nearly $500,000.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 29, 2024:

 

Over at OPKO Health $OPK, the chairman and CEO doubled down with a personal purchase of $305,376. Dr. Phillip Frost is a serial inside buyer, so we won’t make much of this specific purchase.

Last but not least, director...

The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Monday, December 2, 2024

December 2, 2024

Today's number is... 535

“It’s a bull market, you know.” - @OptionsSean

This bull market has been ongoing for 535 trading days to date.

Here is a bar chart displaying all S&P 500 bull markets since 1950:

 

(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)

Let's break down what this chart shows:

  • The blue bars represent the percentage change of each bull market. 
  • The red dots represent the total number of trading days for each bull market. 
  • The blue horizontal dashed line indicates the average percentage...
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It's Risk-On. Here's why...

December 1, 2024

[Action Needed]

Click here to get 40% off an annual membership to ASC Premium Research.

That's 40% off our twice-monthly conference calls, exclusive market scans & trade ideas, and RANGEFINDER APP to track all our trades in real-time.

Enter the offer code "blackfriday"

...

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: So Many New Highs

November 30, 2024

*NOTE* Register here for the next All Star Charts Conference Call on Tuesday, December 3rd at 8:00 pm ET.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

 

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Most Important Charts in America

November 30, 2024

The month of November is officially over.

A lot happened this month. 

And it would be foolish to ignore it. So we're doing the opposite. We're leaning in and pressing our bets.

Look at the Small-cap Indexes both making new all-time highs. The S&P600 Small-cap Index and Russell2000 Small-cap Index are completing multi-year bases and just beginning their next leg higher:

 

Another major base being completed right now is in the Dow Jones Transportation Average. 

We had seen the strength in Logistics stocks, Marine Shippers and even resiliency among Railroads and Truckers. It was really just the Airline stocks that needed to stop falling.

And that's precisely what happened.

Look at the new all-time highs in the Dow Transports:

 

Keep in mind that while we're continuing to see more and more of the most important indexes breaking out to new all-time highs, the usual suspects are also still doing their thing.

Look at the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 both hitting new all-time highs, again.

 

All of this strength in the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 is coming at a time where...

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Reminder: It's a Bull Market

November 30, 2024

[Action Needed]

Click here to get 40% off an annual membership to ASC Premium Research.

That's 40% off our twice-monthly conference calls, exclusive market scans & trade ideas, and RANGEFINDER APP to track all our trades in real-time.

Enter the offer code "blackfriday"

...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Game On: Betting Big on the Hottest Gaming Stocks

November 29, 2024

When I was a kid, I loved to play video games. I spent endless hours on Mario Bros, FIFA, and Call of Duty. Those games were my favorites!

Now, I see them in a whole new light—as an opportunity to profit in the market.

Gaming and eSports are a hot spot right now, and the stocks tied to it are embarking on new uptrends.

A great way to tap into this space is through the VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF $ESPO.

 

After over three years of absolutely no progress, ESPO is finally breaking out to new all-time highs.

Buyers are in full control and as long as we’re above the 2021 highs, gaming is a group that I want to lean on for long exposure.

When I dive into the holdings, I see a lot of great-looking setups that make this space even more attractive.

Let’s hit the charts.

First up is Electronic Arts Inc...

The Strazza Letter

I’m Nuking My Portfolio

November 29, 2024

With so many stocks joining in on the bull market, it can be hard to keep track of leadership.

But one group that definitely stands out and deserves a mention is Uranium and Nuclear Energy.

These stocks were big leaders during the commodity bull run of 2020-2021, and they have been major leaders again in recent months.

But, it’s less about the recent relative strength, and more about the structural patterns at play.

Here’s the industry leader, Cameco $CCJ breaking out of a monster base:

 

After more than a decade of underperformance for the alternative energy stock, CCJ is breaking out to new all-time highs just as it looks to reverse trend versus the broader market. 

The trend reversal shown in the lower pane suggests more leadership from CCJ in the future.

How can you not buy this 18-year base breakout? 

And when benchmarked against its industry peers instead of the S&P 500, it’s clear CCJ is the premier vehicle in its space.

 

This chart shows it climbing steadily higher versus the Global X Uranium ETF...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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(Commodities Weekly) Thankful For Higher Prices

November 29, 2024

My cousin wasn't asking me about crypto during this year's Thanksgiving feast. 

Instead, he wanted to know which commodity to buy after the historic cocoa trade.

Without hesitation, I told him, "coffee."

And I really believe that!

Let's talk about why.

Our Soft Commodity Index is testing a critical level of interest:

 

The index peaked and rolled over in 2011 and has carved out a massive basing pattern in the years since then. If and when the bulls resolve this pattern, we want to be long.

On a relative basis, soft commodities are printing fresh 52-week highs versus the broader commodity complex. This is precisely what we're looking for in a leadership group, and we expect this outperformance to continue for the foreseeable future.

Cocoa futures recently resolved a 45-year base and put the bears in a dirt nap, and we think coffee futures are up next:

 

As you can see, coffee is at its highest level since it peaked in 1977, following a face-ripping 600% rally in two years.

A close above 340 would mark the end of a nearly 50-year consolidation and the beginning of a new uptrend. 

And we suspect...