In today’s Options Jam Session, we reviewed how the profits from one delta-neutral credit spread more than paid for the losses on another, and I demonstrated what to do with a big winner that has the potential to pay for a lot more losses while still leaving us in the green!
This is how trader math works. Lose frequently and small, win occasionally and big. That simple heuristic is the key to long-term success.
But of course, it’s not easy.
We have to battle against our strong urges to close out winning trades too soon.
In fact, in the $APH trade that I demonstrated in today’s session, you’ll see there were several opportunities for me to get scared and pull the trigger to exit BEFORE our big profits accrued. This is why having an unemotional plan in place ahead of time is so valuable.
Next to individual trading plans, these weekly review sessions are one of the most valuable things I do each week to keep myself on track with my...
Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.
Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.
Of course, there’s always an exception…
Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:
Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.
I like buying T-bond futures against 117’27. But instead of targeting the December 27th high of 125’30, I prefer to aim at a critical shelf of former lows at approximately 122’30.
The bigger question is whether this bull market is now ready to resume? Or is more churning, sector rotation and further sentiment adjustment still necessary?
Actually the Russell3000 Index just hit New All-time Highs as well. This index represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. Equities market.
Here it is breaking records before your very eyes:
I mean, it's right there in the name. This company makes no bones about what they do. And I'm into it. Especially when I'm looking for a leveraged play into the metals sector for a potentially big move.
Buying here might not be for the feignt of heart, but if you love gap-no-go patterns with a long time horizon to play out, this might be the golden ticket.
GameStop and a number of speculative meme stocks have rallied in tremendous fashion this week. At the same time, we've yet to see this activity catch on in the crypto space.
I think as animal spirits reignite in this speculative securities, we'll eventually see a natural rotation that will bid higher a variety of meme coins in the crypto space.
Today's letter is a look at a variety of individual names and how I'm seeing this entire dynamic through the lens of the crypto asset class.
It appears that “Meme Stock Mania” is back. Or we’re at least having an echo moment.
Cool. I’m all for it!
Whatever leads more sheep to slaughter, the better for those people who trade with plans and logic. People like you and me.
If we learned anything from the last go-’round, remember that it’s very hard to control our risks in these mania stocks – especially when we have to deal with trading halts that may or may not resolve in the direction we desire.
Fortunately, options traders have a unique and specific advantage over...