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The Hall of Famers (05-17-2024)

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Uber and Crowdstrike.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the remaining names by...

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Copper Hits New All-Time High

May 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold did its part earlier in the spring, paving the way for the rest of the metals space.

Now, silver is posting fresh decade highs, uranium names are triggering buy signals, and Dr. Copper is slicing through overhead supply. 

Plus, increasing copper demand has caught the smart money offside.

Check out copper futures with the Commitment of Traders profile in the lower pane:

Fading commercial (smart money) positioning tends to produce pain. 

But even the strongest hands can find themselves on the wrong side of a trade. It happened to commercial hedgers back in 2020, and it’s happening again today.

Copper experienced an explosive rally, adding a dollar-fifty as surging demand forced strong hands to unwind their shorts in 2020 and 2021.

If gold is heading to 5K, copper is making its way to eight bucks – but first, it must...

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Bonds Trigger a Tactical Buy

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are rolling over… 

And bonds are catching a bid.

After four months of steady selling pressure, US Treasuries are finally carving out a tradeable low.

Let’s take a look!

Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.

Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.

Of course, there’s always an exception…

Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:

Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.

I like buying T-bond futures against 117’27. But instead of targeting the December 27th high of 125’30, I prefer to aim at a critical shelf of former lows at approximately 122’30.

If and when price manages...

Corrections Happen During Bull Markets

May 16, 2024

Stock prices don't go straight up, even during bull markets.

Corrections are a normal phenomenon.

Messy market environments are perfectly normal too.

And that's exactly what we've seen.

To be clear, corrections and messy market environments for several months at a time do not change the fact that it's still a bull market.

We've been in a bull market for almost 2 years. That hasn't changed.

The bigger question is whether this bull market is now ready to resume? Or is more churning, sector rotation and further sentiment adjustment still necessary?

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The Short Report (05-15-2024)

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

Stocks Hit New All-time Highs!

May 16, 2024

S&P500 New All-time Highs

Nasdaq Composite New All-time Highs

NYSE Composite New All-time Highs

Dow Jones Industrial Average New All-time Highs

Are you noticing a trend?

And it's not just 7 stocks either.

Actually the Russell3000 Index just hit New All-time Highs as well. This index represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. Equities market.

Here it is breaking records before your very eyes:

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Investors Sideline a Defiant Dollar

May 14, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

May showers and meme stocks are rolling through.

Roaring Kitty is back, leaning into his detractors with his trademark flair. 

AMC and GameStop $GME are ripping. Gold mining stocks are picking up the pace. And the US dollar…

Surprisingly, it’s still holding above former support.

The 105 - 104.75 area marks the spot for the US Dollar Index $DXY: 

A decisive close below that key polarity zone places the dollar back in the box, giving stock market bulls free rein.

Yet investors don’t seem to care about the greenback. 

Despite DXY’s sticky former highs, risk assets continue to crank.

Check out Dr. Copper and the aussie-yen posting fresh...

Short Squeeze Season Has Returned

May 14, 2024

Look at this squeeze in GameStop $GME happening as we speak.

$GME more than doubled in price yesterday, finally closing up 75% on the day. That's a 200% rally in just a couple of weeks.

$GME is up another 90% pre-market today, as of the time of this writing...

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Under the Hood (05-13-2024)

May 13, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended May 10, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Buy This Stock as Investors Reach for Rocks

May 13, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Mining stocks are sticking their breakouts as our list of trending tickers grows. 

The Junior Gold Miners ETF $GDXJ is breaking out, platinum futures are completing a year-long base, and the silver-to-gold ratio is posting new highs.

With risk-seeking behavior creeping back into precious metals, it’s time to turn up the heat…

[Options] The Way Fair(er) Price is Higher

May 13, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza and I talked about how this market is setting up to be potentially very problematic for short sellers.

And the most pain will likely be felt in the stocks that currently have a heavy short interest.

With this in mind, the short squeeze pond is where we want to be fishing for long ideas.

In the video above, you can watch how Steve and I developed today's trade idea in Wayfair $W.