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Software Is Ruining Everything

May 30, 2024

Software is supposed to be one of the leaders of the Nasdaq.

But this time around, it's one of the groups trying to drag it down.

Look at the new highs this year in the Nasdaq, but Software continuing to put in a series of lower highs, and possibly its first lower low this week.

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[Premium] Details For June 2024 Monthly Strategy Session

May 30, 2024

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday June 3rd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

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Young Aristocrats (May 2024)

May 29, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

By adding our technical analysis to the mix,...

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The Short Report (05-29-2024)

May 29, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

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The USD Rally Proves Sticky

May 29, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

All signs point to a weaker dollar.

Crude oil slipping below 78… interest rates cutting through a multi-month trendline… emerging market currencies hitting fresh year-to-date highs… risk assets ripping

Yet the buck refuses to budge.

The US Dollar Index $DXY is holding steady at a confluence of support, marked by a critical polarity zone and the year-to-date trendline:

As long as DXY remains above the former resistance level of roughly 104.25, a bearish bias is challenging to maintain.

On the flip side, a decisive close below the April pivot low of 103.88 signals a shift toward dollar weakness....

Bonds Are Still Crashing

May 29, 2024

This historic bond market crash continues.

And to be fair, it might not seem like a "Crash" because bond market volatility is still relatively low.

So it's just been a slow painful grind lower.

But there's no evidence that it's over.

You can see the Japanese Yen continuing lower as well....

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Under The Hood (05-27-2024)

May 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended May 10, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold Rush Mailbag: Making Sense of Last Week’s Selloff

May 28, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’ve heard JC say it many times: “You guys are the smart money.”

After spending a week with clients at our Portfolio Accelerator and fielding countless reader emails, I completely agree!  

Since gold and silver prices are getting a bit wild, I decided to dive straight into the Gold Rush mailbag today to start a healthy discussion about what might happen next…

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Carbon Credit Demand Increases

May 25, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Don’t let a few days of selling pressure fool you.

Despite intense gold, copper, and crude oil pullbacks, many commodity-related assets are flashing buy signals.

For instance…

The Global Carbon ETF $KRBN:

KRBN holds a basket of European and U.S. carbon allowance futures – also known as carbon credits. Companies use these credits to offset the costs of releasing greenhouse gases.

Interestingly, the similarities between the carbon allowances, copper versus gold, and silver versus gold charts are uncanny. All three are violating multi-year downtrend lines, suggesting bullish trend reversals and a risk-on market environment.

We like KRBN long above 35, targeting 56.

That’s it for today. We’ll be back with more next week.

Thanks for reading.

Premium members, be sure to check out the Commodity Trade of the Week below.

Consumer Hits 10-year Lows

May 25, 2024

One thing we know for sure is that stock prices go up and stock prices go down.

Sometimes they go up mostly in unison, and other times most of them trade lower together.

In most cases, however, some stocks are rising while other stocks are not, and possibly even falling.

We call these "Normal" markets.

Check out last week's Conference Call Video, Charts & Trades for all the details on how we're playing it.

You can see here in the chart below, for example, that with the S&P500 closing at new all-time highs this week, the Consumer is just not getting the memo.

In fact, Consumer Discretionary just went out at new lows relative to the S&P500.

The...