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Junior International Hall of Famers (06-20-2024)

June 20, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

Click table to enlarge view

And here’s how we arrived at it…

We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over...

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The Dollar-Yen Hits a 34-Year High

June 20, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

So much for buying the Japanese yen.

Forex markets are taking a shot at the Japanese currency as the aussie, kiwi, and Canadian dollars post fresh decade highs versus the yen.

Not to be outdone, the USD/JPY pair is printing its highest daily close since April 1990!

Check out the dollar-yen’s eight-week base breakout:

The path of least resistance now points higher toward 170, but only if the USD/JPY trades above 158.

I’ve been bearish the dollar-yen pair since it peaked in April. However, as traders, we must update our prior biases based on the current data. And it doesn’t get much more bullish than a new 34-year closing high.

Today’s USD/JPY breakout not only flips my outlook for the yen. It also impacts my view of the...

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (06-20-2024)

June 20, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market...

Russell3000 All-time Highs

June 20, 2024

The Russell3000 just closed at back-to-back new all-time highs this week.

This Index represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. equities market.

And it's currently at the highest price in its entire history:

Happy Fibonacci Day 6.18

June 18, 2024

Big day today!

6/18 represents the Golden Ratio on the calendar.

Math nerds all over the world are celebrating!

But how do we profit from this ratio?

Where does it fit into the market?

Here's a great example.

This is the Dow Jones Transportation Average retracing exactly 61.8% of the entire rally from the lows last Fall, and up to the highs this Spring.

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The Minor Leaguers (06-17-2024)

June 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold Continues to Shine

June 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold bugs have seen brighter days.

Silver is underperforming Gold. The corrections in Platinum and Palladium are burrowing deeper beneath our breakout levels. And the Gold Miners ETF $GDX is printing fresh lows versus the broader market. 

It doesn’t sound bullish to me.

Yet gold futures are solid as a rock!

[Options] The Bears Are Blocking the Square

June 17, 2024

In today's episode of the Flow Show, Steve and I navigate some trade ideas that would help add bearish portfolio diversification in case the stock market wants to catch its breath this summer.

We discussed two specifically ugly charts, and we both agreed that Block Inc $SQ offers the best opportunity as an options trade.

Watch the video above for all the color you need.

Here's the chart for $SQ:

Here's the Play:

No New Highs. So What?

June 16, 2024

On Friday you saw the highest weekly close for the S&P500 in history.

Do you know how many stocks on the entire NYSE closed at a new 52-week high?

12.

Meanwhile in ETF land, the Nasdaq100 $QQQ and S&P500 $SPY hit new all-time highs on Friday, but we also saw fresh 6-week lows for the NYSE Advance-Decline line. It was also a new 6-month low for the Nasdaq Advance-Decline line, for those keeping score at home.

Here's a chart of all the S&P Sectors on an equally-weighted basis over the past 15 weeks. Consumer Discretionary has been the worst. Utilities have been the best by far.

You'll notice that the Equally-weighted S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have made no progress or are down during this period.