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The Jeff Macke Portfolio Articles

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Looking for a way to profit of the Street's (and my own) disappointment

With shares down over 60% over the last 4 years, earnings declining and a CEO set to retire Target had a chance to make dramatic changes. Instead, the discount retailer made the most obvious, timid, decision possible, announcing 20-year company...

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TKO Rakes in huge cash for UFC. What I'm doing now.
 

TKO Scores a Knock-Out! 

TKO signed a $7.7 billion, 7 year deal with Paramount+ to air UFC content, including PPVs. TKO is getting a full price for the asset. Just on the surface, Paramount+ is paying a...

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On Holdings, Cava and Birkenstocks are poised to move this week.
 

According to Deutsche over 60% of the consumer facing companies that have reported so Q2 so far are lower. What's striking / concerning / disturbing is the spread between winners and losers. The downside reactions (RIP $CROX) are brutal, the...

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Peloton scores a beat and an Upgrade. More Trades!

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

Peloton beats by a mile and goes up ~0%. Crocs misses because of Tariffs and crashes over 20%. Dutch Bros goes anti-Starbucks and rips higher. Has the market gone...

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Expectations are high for Amazon tonight. Here's what to expect

Peloton reported a much better-than-expected quarter and guidance on (almost) every metric! CEO Peter Stern continues to find ways to rip out expenses without increasing churn. 

Put more simply, 18 months ago the question was whether or not...

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These 5 Stocks will set the tone for a critical week.

Buckle up for Earnings

Coming off a week marked by negative headlines (Tariff Madness, Lousy Jobs, and the biggest index declines since May), the stock market is heading straight into the heart of the real...

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Can retailers recover from a brutal 5 days?

Sunday Musings Ahead of a Huge Week

The long grind higher since the April 8th lows came to a thudding halt last week and, not surprisingly, it was the Consumer Discretionary names leading the way lower. By the time the...

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Stocks to Buy as the Week ends in a Crash

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

Amazon leads to the downside as the week comes to a brutal end. Two portfolio changes and 2 stocks I'd buy in in this bloodbath. 

...

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Amazon fails to explain AWS relative underperformance

Yesterday I wrote, "Amazon famously doesn't care what it reports from quarter to quarter, but as a shareholder, I certainly do".

Boy, is that biting me in the ass this morning. Amazon looks set to open 8% lower despite yet another quarter of...

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Expectations are high for Amazon tonight. Here's what to expect

Amazon famously doesn't care what it reports from quarter to quarter, but as a shareholder, I certainly do.

With the Everything Store set to report tonight on the heels of blockbusters from Microsoft and Meta, and $AMZN shares underperforming...

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5 Charts I'm watching today

VFC is Screaming Higher!

 

 

The owner of Vans, Columbia and Timberland (among other things) came in better than expected despite yet another decline in the Vans division, which fell by 14%. There's a...

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Starbucks gets a pass from Wall Street

Starbucks got away with one on Tuesday.

The company missed on EPS, posted a 6th straight quarter of negative comps and still has little to show for 12 months of work CEO Brian Niccol has put in since he was plucked away from Chipotle for a cool...

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One campaign won't save AEO... but it can move the stock

I couldn't stop thinking about AEO's new campaign. Not because of the actress or the fake(?) controversy being kicked up online. My interests are artistic, historic and pecuniary. 

I wrote about the...

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Hulking up into Earnings Season

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

The loss of a pair of 80s icons takes a bit of the fun out of a profitable week. What we learned from (and about) Chipotle, the meme stock Red Flag and...

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Can Sweeney's popularity revive the company? No one is really asking yet.

Shares of American Eagle rose 21% after hours for reasons that are a mystery to people who think Sydney Sweeney is "mid".

The "Sydney Sweeney has Great Jeans" campaign, featuring the popular actress in AEO denim, added just under $400 million to...

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3 Reasons the SFIX rally has room to Run

After losing a MASSIVE 98% of its value from the COVID Bubble top, Stitch Fix ( $SFIX ) has spent the last 2 years defining itself, its customer base, and its business model; all on the fly. 

Patient (or more likely new) investors are being...

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Below are the slides from my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

 

Stuck Starbucks:

 

 

Kohl's gets a...

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Starbucks needs more Steam

No one has been rooting for Starbucks harder than me, but the chain is running out of time. With the coffee giant set to report next week, and CEO Brian Niccol approaching his first anniversary since being announced as CEO it's time to review the Risk...

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Introducing the Millionaires at Sea Luxury Cruise Stock Basket

If everyone hates cruising except Boomers and people who crave norovirus, why are the stocks hitting All-Time-Highs?

Royal Caribbean made the news for two reasons on Friday. First came reports that 140 people aboard $RCI's "Navigator of the Seas...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

I used yesterday's strength in a mall retailer to make room for a new position in my RoundUp 10. Hint: Think "Hims for Boomers."

Watch...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

I used yesterday's strength in a mall retailer to make room for a new position in my RoundUp 10. Hint: Think "Hims for Boomers."

Watch...

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Everyone already loves NFLX. Here are other ways to play.

Netflix is set to report on Thursday evening, and it's hard to find anyone willing to bet against this new Consumer virtual-staple. Netflix is the Big Daddy of streaming. As the networks and streaming services continue to bundle in a way that amounts...

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Weekly breakdown of Consumer Stocks to Watch

Retailers are trying to find their footing after a murderers' row of trade and tariff announcements over the last few days.

Spencer and I are talking specifics, including: CPI data take, Prime Day results, why tariffs matter (still), and how to...

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Like Santa Claus in a Christmas movie, Prime Day had plenty of doubters and haters but, in the end, proved itself undeniably Real. The biggest, newest shopping event of summer got off to a slow start but ended up driving...

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