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The Jeff Macke Portfolio Articles

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D
 

Deckers closed out an eventful week by offering frankly terrifying guidance for the current quarter and refusing to even speculate as to how much worse things could get from here.

The makers of Hoka and Uggs said demand for the former has...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

We're still in the heart of retail earnings season. This week we heard from names like TGT, TJX, and WSM. Next week we've got DKS, COST, M, BBY, DKS,...

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tjx

Everything wrong at Target is great for TJX, which reported yet another quarter of Beat EPS, Beat Revs, Low-Ball Guidance quarter.

Shares for both are flat for the moment but, having just gotten off the TJX call I can share with all confidence...

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$TJX
sad

Target didn't have to be "Great" today. They didn't even have to be good. 

Since briefly becoming America's retail comfort food during COVID Target has been on an epic run of failure. The misses have only been interrupted only by short...

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$TGT

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup.

If a few weeks ago we had 'The Week From Hell" as I called it, then this week was "The Best Week Ever". 

My Retail Roundup...

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On Crushes

On had to be perfect going into earnings. Fast growth company and priced accordingly. On isn't cheap. It wasn't a month ago at $35 and wasn't when I bought it yesterday at $50.70. What On has transcends cheap. On has momentum, good management, and a...

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ONON

I should probably wait. I might be able to buy a dip. But there's a name I've wanted in the portfolio for months. They report tomorrow. Expectations aren't exactly "low" but you don't get many dips in the good names.

Here's why I'm betting on...

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Inverted Bat

We are so freaking back.

In a turn of events which would have been shocking virutally any other time in American history the administration finally agreed to a firm 90 day pause on the Chinese tariffs. "Firm" and "Pause" and "Deescalation" and,...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup. 

We've entered the retail portion of earnings season. This week I analyzed the reports and reactions from DIS and PTON, two consumer stocks I watch closely...

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Pton
 

Peloton shares are down pre-market despite the company doing just about anything analysts could have asked from it.

Churn hit 1.2% despite a massive drop in marketing spend. As mentioned in the preview yesterday, if Peloton can retain the...

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$PTON

Macke portfolio holding Peloton reports in the morning. Officially the Street is looking for a loss of 6c on ~$650mm for the quarter and about $2.5b in revenue for the year, cranking out about $300 to $350 million EBITDA.

But that's not what I'...

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ub

Uber is is pulling back premarket, ostensibly on slightly light revenues and solid but not spectacular guide. At least that's going to be the reason analysts will cite for not taking up their ratings on Uber, despite the company crushing on trailing...

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Disney

Disney just beat the crap out of estimates and (surprising part here) guided higher for the year. 

Despite collapsing consumer sentiment, a drop off in US park visits, leaning even deeper into cruises (which might be the only way to...

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skx

In late April Dad-Shoe brand Skechers reported decent earnings and pulled all guidance.

We talked about it at the time in my video update...

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Hasbro

Earnings season is heating up as we get into May. We've heard from plenty of consumer facing names so far (Hasbro, McDonald's, Chipotle) but by time honored tradition the earnings season for retail doesn't start until Walmart reports which won't...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup. 

We made our first new purchase since launching the consumer portfolio earlier this year...

This is a stock I've been keeping an eye on for a while,...

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boom

I added a new name to the Retail Round-Up portfolio last week. Spotify entered the portfolio after reporting a "disappointing" first quarter that, honestly, couldn't have made me happier. 

As discussed in the Spotify...

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Amazon

As the Everything Company, it's appropriate Amazon's earnings will have something for everyone. 

Want some insight into impact of trade tension on consumer spending? Amazon's got you. Shipping? Amazon can tell you more than UPS did. Tariffs...

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weeping

It wasn't the numbers that cooked shares of Starbucks after hours last night. Not that Starbucks didn't turn in a "disappointing" (their words) quarter last night. They did. But the stock was hanging in there just fine well into last night's call....

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$SBUX
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nervous

Starbucks set to report tonight and if you aren't nervous you haven't been paying attention. 

Shares of the worlds largest coffee shop are trading at levels first hit in 2019, a depressing run of mediocrity that has included 4 CEOs, a...

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$SBUX
Borg

Spotify is down 8% pre-market on missing the EPS estimate for Q4. The subscription numbers were good with monthly usage and premium subscriber numbers coming in better than expected. The guidance for FY subs was light, which seems more on the side of...

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$SPOT
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Spotify ("The Swedish Netflix") reports, essentially while we are sleeping tonight. The Podcast King is expected to to report revenue growth of about 20% at $4.6b and earnings of $2.52-ish or more, which is a growth rate too large to really delve into...

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As the dust settles on Liberation Day the Street is starting to pick through the rubble and getting long stocks just in case the world doesn't end.

Consider On Holdings, the Swiss shoe and athletic concern. Shares are popping on a down day...

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Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup. 

We're into earnings season. Thank the lord...

For the next few weeks, we'll hopefully learn how these retailers are preparing for a world with(or...

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